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UFC on ESPN: Tybura vs. Spivac 2
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Zalal v Errens Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus19 picks · conf 42/99
Zalal 14
5 Errens
FBTUMB pick Zalal
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Zalal 18-5-1 VS 14-6-1 Errens
5'10" height 5'11"
146 lb weight 145 lb
72" reach 73"
29 age 31
Switch stance Orthodox
4.6 strikes landed / min 3.3
61% striking accuracy 44%
3.8 strikes absorbed / min 3.3
51% striking defence 61%
2.8 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
38% takedown accuracy 0%
88% takedown defence 33%
1.2 submissions / 15 min 0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TD The Rambling Dad picks Youssef Zalal “I got Youssef Zalal um taking this think I'm going with Youssef Zalal”
WP We Want Picks picks Youssef Zalal “Yousef salal I am very confident that he wins this fight”
WP We Want Picks picks Youssef Zalal “I got Youssef Zalal I think Youssef Zalal is just too smart too high fight IQ he's going to hang out on the outside if he does close the distance he'll work in some takedowns I think he can get it done” $1.23
PR Premium-Picks picks Youssef Zalal VALUE “the pick is a la I have money on him”
BM Brando MMA picks Youssef Zalal “I'm going to go with Youssef Zalal... and win a decision probably”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Youssef Zalal VALUE “I like Youssef Zalal 9,400 not typically a guy that scores too well outside of the Billy Q fight but I think he can score well in this matchup specifically” $1.22
UP UCF Podcast picks Youssef Zalal “I'm picking Youssef Zalal”
MA MMA Attic picks Jarno Errens VALUE “the model sees it differently giving aand a small Edge at minus 150 we wouldn't say that this is our most confident bet but if Jarno Errens can fight to a decision the model might just be right” $1.67
TG THE MMA GURU picks Youssef Zalal “I'm gonna go with Youssef Zalal to win this fight”
FP Free Picks PickDawgz picks Youssef Zalal “the pick is definitely use of salow on that one” $1.25
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Jarno Errens VALUE “give me the Dutch kickboxer give me the big big Underdog jonno erand”
UG UFC Genie picks Youssef Zalal “Youssef Zalal by decision”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Zalal18-5-1
L Sterling Decision · R5 Apr '26
W Emmett Submission · R1 Oct '25
W Kattar Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Shore Submission · R2 Nov '24
W Errens Submission · R1 Aug '24
Errens14-6-1
L Zalal Submission · R1 Aug '24
W Nguyen Decision · R3 Mar '24
L Seung-woo Decision · R3 Aug '23
L Gomis Decision · R3 Sep '22