MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC on ESPN: Tybura vs. Spivac 2
Choose a fight to analyse
SS MT Spivac vs TyburaMain Card · Heavyweight CM DJ Mariscal vs JacksonMain Card · Catchweight DB NV Barlow vs VeretennikovMain Card · Catchweight CG QL Gutiérrez vs LeMain Card · Bantamweight YS CC Santos vs ChandlerMain Card · Catchweight TK CG Kazama vs GrigoriouMain Card · Bantamweight KR PK Rosa vs KianzadPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight JD KW Diniz vs WilliamsPreliminary Card · Heavyweight YZ JE Zalal vs ErrensPreliminary Card · Featherweight SL TA Luciano vs AlencarPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Mariscal v Jackson Catchweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Consensus18 picks · conf 40/99
Mariscal 13
5 Jackson
FBTMUS pick Mariscal
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Mariscal 17-6 VS 23-8-1 Jackson
5'7" height 5'11"
146 lb weight 155 lb
69" reach 71"
33 age 37
Orthodox stance Switch
4.8 strikes landed / min 3.0
57% striking accuracy 42%
3.2 strikes absorbed / min 3.5
50% striking defence 49%
3.1 takedowns / 15 min 2.3
39% takedown accuracy 32%
72% takedown defence 37%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 1.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
LS Lil Stray picks Chepe Mariscal “I think Chepe Mariscal is goingon to get this one done um I think Chepe Mariscal is control I think um I think Chepe Mariscal is going Damon Jackson's taller Chepe Mariscal a little muscle that way I can see Chepe Mariscal being one um yeah I think Chepe Mariscal gets it done I'mma go with Chepe Mariscal money line”
TM The MMA-Holes picks Damon Jackson VALUE
WP We Want Picks picks Damon Jackson VALUE “I think Damon Jackson's a decent dog here” $2.75
WP We Want Picks picks Chepe Mariscal “I think Chepe Mariscal wins the fight”
BE BetSam picks Chepe Mariscal “I think that he can beat Damon Jackson in this spot” $1.46
PR Premium-Picks picks Chepe Mariscal VALUE “I'm going to be picking him again here” $1.44
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Chepe Mariscal “I'm going to go Chepe Mariscal in a close decision” $1.49
BM Brando MMA picks Damon Jackson “I'm gonna go with Damon Jackson Damon Jackson Jackson... I'm going to take Damon Jackson Damon Jackson Jackson”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Damon Jackson VALUE “if Damon Jackson's winning this fight it's just takedowns it's control time”
EB ESPN BET picks Damon Jackson VALUE “if I were to bet this on the money line I would go with Damon Jackson”
UP UCF Podcast picks Chepe Mariscal “I'm picking Chepe Mariscal in this one”
MA MMA Attic picks Chepe Mariscal “the bookmakers and the model both like chipe in this fight”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Mariscal17-6
L Sabatini Decision · R3 Nov '25
W Ramos Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Jackson Decision · R3 Aug '24
W Charrière Decision · R3 Apr '24
W Jenkins KO/TKO · R2 Sep '23
Jackson23-8-1
L Miller Submission · R1 Nov '24
L Mariscal Decision · R3 Aug '24
W Hernandez Decision · R3 Apr '24
L Quarantillo Decision · R3 Aug '23
L Ige KO/TKO · R2 Jan '23