MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC on ESPN: Tybura vs. Spivac 2
Choose a fight to analyse
SS MT Spivac vs TyburaMain Card · Heavyweight CM DJ Mariscal vs JacksonMain Card · Catchweight DB NV Barlow vs VeretennikovMain Card · Catchweight CG QL Gutiérrez vs LeMain Card · Bantamweight YS CC Santos vs ChandlerMain Card · Catchweight TK CG Kazama vs GrigoriouMain Card · Bantamweight KR PK Rosa vs KianzadPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight JD KW Diniz vs WilliamsPreliminary Card · Heavyweight YZ JE Zalal vs ErrensPreliminary Card · Featherweight SL TA Luciano vs AlencarPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Luciano v Alencar Women'S Strawweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Consensus16 picks · conf 38/99
Luciano 10
6 Alencar
FTBCMP pick Luciano
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Luciano 6-2-1 VS 7-1-1 Alencar
5'6" height 5'1"
116 lb weight 115 lb
65" reach 58"
26 age 35
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.1 strikes landed / min 2.5
57% striking accuracy 28%
3.9 strikes absorbed / min 4.8
53% striking defence 52%
2.3 takedowns / 15 min 2.0
67% takedown accuracy 13%
53% takedown defence 50%
2.0 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GS Guy Boston Sports picks Stephanie Luciano “we also took Stephanie Luciano for us and we also took Stephanie Luciano for us”
WP We Want Picks picks Stephanie Luciano “I think Stephanie Luciano wins this fight”
WP We Want Picks picks Talita Alencar VALUE “I think Talita Alencar is a decent Underdog especially if you think she made the improvements” $2.35
PR Premium-Picks picks Stephanie Luciano “I'm going to take VI goes the distance I think luch was the better fighter but that wouldn't surprise me if Talita Alencar WIS”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Talita Alencar VALUE “I am picking Allan Carr to win” $2.36
BM Brando MMA picks Stephanie Luciano “I'm gonna go with Stephanie Stephanie Luciano Stephanie Luciano to win this fight... and I think she's going to get this one done by decision”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Talita Alencar VALUE “toad to Talita Alencar 7,700 I think she is certainly in play this is the first fight of the night”
MA MMA Attic picks Stephanie Luciano VALUE “we placed a bet on Stephanie here and hope that she can keep the fight standing this time” $1.96
TG THE MMA GURU picks Stephanie Luciano “I'm going to go with Stephanie Stephanie Luciano lad”
FP Free Picks PickDawgz picks Stephanie Luciano VALUE “I think she has more tools in the tool box um and I think she wins in this one” $1.65
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Talita Alencar VALUE “give me Talita Alencar as the pick”
UG UFC Genie picks Talita Alencar VALUE “we're going to go Talita Alencar 29-28 possible 3027 decision win over Stephanie Stephanie Luciano”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Luciano6-2-1
W Oliveira Submission · R3 Oct '25
L Hughes Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Alencar Decision · R3 Aug '24
Alencar7-1-1
W Polastri Decision · R3 Apr '26
W Carnelossi Submission · R3 Nov '25
W Demopoulos Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Luciano Decision · R3 Aug '24
W Santos Decision · R3 Dec '23