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Luciano vs AlencarPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Spivac vs TyburaMain Card · Heavyweight
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Mariscal vs JacksonMain Card · Catchweight
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Barlow vs VeretennikovMain Card · Catchweight
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Gutiérrez vs LeMain Card · Bantamweight
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Santos vs ChandlerMain Card · Catchweight
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Kazama vs GrigoriouMain Card · Bantamweight
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Rosa vs KianzadPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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Diniz vs WilliamsPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Zalal vs ErrensPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Luciano vs AlencarPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Prophecy read
Luciano v Alencar
Women'S Strawweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Luciano 6-2-1
VS
7-1-1 Alencar
5'6"
height
5'1"
116 lb
weight
115 lb
65"
reach
58"
26
age
35
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.1
strikes landed / min
2.5
57%
striking accuracy
28%
3.9
strikes absorbed / min
4.8
53%
striking defence
52%
2.3
takedowns / 15 min
2.0
67%
takedown accuracy
13%
53%
takedown defence
50%
2.0
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
GS
Guy Boston Sports picks Stephanie Luciano
“we also took Stephanie Luciano for us and we also took Stephanie Luciano for us”
WP
We Want Picks picks Stephanie Luciano
“I think Stephanie Luciano wins this fight”
WP
We Want Picks picks Talita Alencar VALUE
“I think Talita Alencar is a decent Underdog especially if you think she made the improvements”
$2.35
PR
Premium-Picks picks Stephanie Luciano
“I'm going to take VI goes the distance I think luch was the better fighter but that wouldn't surprise me if Talita Alencar WIS”
BM
Brando MMA picks Stephanie Luciano
“I'm gonna go with Stephanie Stephanie Luciano Stephanie Luciano to win this fight... and I think she's going to get this one done by decision”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Talita Alencar VALUE
“toad to Talita Alencar 7,700 I think she is certainly in play this is the first fight of the night”
MA
MMA Attic picks Stephanie Luciano VALUE
“we placed a bet on Stephanie here and hope that she can keep the fight standing this time”
$1.96
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Stephanie Luciano
“I'm going to go with Stephanie Stephanie Luciano lad”
FP
Free Picks PickDawgz picks Stephanie Luciano VALUE
“I think she has more tools in the tool box um and I think she wins in this one”
$1.65
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Talita Alencar VALUE
“give me Talita Alencar as the pick”
UG
UFC Genie picks Talita Alencar VALUE
“we're going to go Talita Alencar 29-28 possible 3027 decision win over Stephanie Stephanie Luciano”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Luciano6-2-1
W
Oliveira
Oct '25
L
Hughes
Mar '25
W
Alencar
Aug '24
Alencar7-1-1
W
Polastri
Apr '26
W
Carnelossi
Nov '25
W
Demopoulos
Apr '25
L
Luciano
Aug '24
W
Santos
Dec '23