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Prophecy read
Matthews v Rowe
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Matthews 22-8
VS
11-6 Rowe
5'11"
height
6'3"
170 lb
weight
170 lb
73"
reach
81"
31
age
35
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.9
strikes landed / min
—
41%
striking accuracy
—
2.6
strikes absorbed / min
—
47%
striking defence
—
2.2
takedowns / 15 min
—
40%
takedown accuracy
—
50%
takedown defence
—
1.8
submissions / 15 min
—
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Philip Rowe
“I'm gonna pick Philip Rowe”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Philip Rowe
“I'm gonna pick Philip Rowe”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Philip Rowe VALUE
“I'm GNA go with Philip Rowe row”
The Rambling Dad picks Philip Rowe VALUE
“I'm GNA go with Philip Rowe row”
WT
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Philip Rowe VALUE
“the pick is Philip Rowe”
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Philip Rowe VALUE
“the pick is Philip Rowe”
AM
ANCHOR MMA picks Jake Matthews VALUE
“I'm going to keep on Jake Matthews I really like Jake Matthews he has a big size disadvantage but I I don't know will he be able to do what he did in that André Lima fight look as crisp as he did that fight who knows I feel really bad God bless Andre falo I hate when Fighters end up like uh it sucks that uh he didn't have the Repose o trean where he left the UFC and just started dominating sucks that chin deteriorates and it deteriorates fast man and speaking of Jin Philip Rowe does not have much of one could Philip Rowe get Jake Matthews on the ground yes Jake Matthews has really good tdd but he could get him on the ground Philip Rowe is a really good Jiu-Jitsu Ace I his his grappling is really fun um he has the reach Advantage he's way longer way longer almost like the tarantula body type the jayen turneresque body type I just I don't know I'm just leaning towards the Aussie fellow I think Jake Matthews is going to be able to get this done I just I'm 100% going with Jake Matthews”
ANCHOR MMA picks Jake Matthews VALUE
“I'm going to keep on Jake Matthews I really like Jake Matthews he has a big size disadvantage but I I don't know will he be able to do what he did in that André Lima fight look as crisp as he did that fight who knows I feel really bad God bless Andre falo I hate when Fighters end up like uh it sucks that uh he didn't have the Repose o trean where he left the UFC and just started dominating sucks that chin deteriorates and it deteriorates fast man and speaking of Jin Philip Rowe does not have much of one could Philip Rowe get Jake Matthews on the ground yes Jake Matthews has really good tdd but he could get him on the ground Philip Rowe is a really good Jiu-Jitsu Ace I his his grappling is really fun um he has the reach Advantage he's way longer way longer almost like the tarantula body type the jayen turneresque body type I just I don't know I'm just leaning towards the Aussie fellow I think Jake Matthews is going to be able to get this done I just I'm 100% going with Jake Matthews”
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Jake Matthews
“I think Jake Matthews is the better fighter I think he's more well-rounded I just don't trust him to show up”
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Jake Matthews
“I think Jake Matthews is the better fighter I think he's more well-rounded I just don't trust him to show up”
TA
The True Analyst picks Jake Matthews
“I'm'ma go with Jake Matthews here for the win say Jake Matthews by decision”
The True Analyst picks Jake Matthews
“I'm'ma go with Jake Matthews here for the win say Jake Matthews by decision”
WP
We Want Picks picks Philip Rowe
“I'm picking him to win I think Philip Rowe wins this fight”
We Want Picks picks Philip Rowe
“I'm picking him to win I think Philip Rowe wins this fight”
KU
Kunath picks Philip Rowe VALUE
“give me Philip Rowe this week he wins”
Kunath picks Philip Rowe VALUE
“give me Philip Rowe this week he wins”
KC
Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Philip Rowe VALUE
“I like Ro here”
Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Philip Rowe VALUE
“I like Ro here”
UT
UFC Predictions Tracker picks Philip Rowe VALUE
“22 out of 32 or 68.75% think he will win this fight”
$2.35
UFC Predictions Tracker picks Philip Rowe VALUE
“22 out of 32 or 68.75% think he will win this fight”
$2.35
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Matthews22-8
W
Harris
May '26
L
Magny
Sep '25
W
Njokuani
Jul '25
W
Prado
Feb '25
W
Rowe
Jun '24
Rowe11-6
L
Lebosnoyani
Feb '26
L
Seok-hyun
Nov '25
W
Loosa
Jun '25
L
Matthews
Jun '24
L
Magny
Jun '23