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UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Hafez v Gall Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus52 picks · conf 70/99
Hafez 44
8 Gall
MBPAEJ pick Hafez
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Hafez 9-4-1 VS 7-7 Gall
5'11" height 6'2"
171 lb weight 171 lb
72" reach 74"
34 age 34
Orthodox stance Switch
3.7 strikes landed / min 3.5
38% striking accuracy 49%
5.7 strikes absorbed / min 4.7
41% striking defence 49%
2.2 takedowns / 15 min 1.1
24% takedown accuracy 32%
50% takedown defence 37%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 1.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TD The Rambling Dad picks Bassil Hafez VALUE “I'm going to go with Bassil Hafez pick Bassil Hafez”
PF Pickin' Fights picks Bassil Hafez “I'm going with Bosa HZ over Mickey Gall”
WT WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Bassil Hafez “I think it's Bassil Hafez”
AM ANCHOR MMA picks Bassil Hafez VALUE “I think Basel HZ is still going to be able to get this done 100% I think Basel hits way too hard”
SA Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Bassil Hafez VALUE “I do like getting into basil HZ in 35% of my lineup”
SA Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Mickey Gall “considering what we saw out of Basil HZ... I think he could have a lot of wrestling and grappling success against Mickey Gall”
EB ESPN BET picks Bassil Hafez VALUE “give me Bassil Hafez win an over for one and a half rounds” $1.71
WP We Want Picks picks Bassil Hafez VALUE “I think baso hfz wins this fight”
FA FanDuel picks Bassil Hafez “I'd pick Bassil Hafez in a straight pick”
KC Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Bassil Hafez VALUE “I'm going to pick hfz to win this”
UT UFC Predictions Tracker picks Bassil Hafez “32 or 94.1 choose Bassil Hafez to win” $1.22
BP Bloody Water Podcast picks Bassil Hafez “I think that something about this number doesn't sit right with me”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Hafez9-4-1
L Elliott KO/TKO · R3 Nov '24
W Gall Decision · R3 Jun '24
L Maddalena Decision · R3 Jul '23
Gall7-7
L Brahimaj KO/TKO · R1 Nov '24
L Hafez Decision · R3 Jun '24
L Malott KO/TKO · R1 Apr '22
L Morono Decision · R3 Dec '21
W Williams Submission · R1 Jul '21