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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Lima v Raposo Catchweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus57 picks · conf 72/99
Lima 47
10 Raposo
MBPJhT pick Lima
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Lima 11-0 VS 10-3 Raposo
5'7" height 5'5"
126 lb weight 125 lb
67" reach 65"
27 age 27
Orthodox stance Switch
3.0 strikes landed / min 2.3
55% striking accuracy 33%
2.5 strikes absorbed / min 3.3
57% striking defence 51%
1.1 takedowns / 15 min 1.9
66% takedown accuracy 60%
73% takedown defence 50%
1.1 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks André Lima VALUE “I am picking André Lima to win” $1.37
TD The Rambling Dad picks André Lima VALUE “I'm going with André Lima”
WT WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Mitch Raposo VALUE “for me the Pick is raposo”
AM ANCHOR MMA picks André Lima “I'm still going André Lima I think maybe the stress of his opponents falling out and falling out made him Mis weight somehow I still think André Lima is going to be able to find a way to get this done”
SA Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks André Lima VALUE “I'm going to have to pick Lima to win”
SA Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Mitch Raposo “I still like the matchup on paper for Roso but... I'm going to have to pick Lima to win”
UP UFC Predictions picks Mitch Raposo “I'm leaning slightly towards Mitch Raposo”
TA The True Analyst picks André Lima “I'm going go with André Lima here man I'm going say André Lima by decision but I'm not confident to this one like I said André Lima possibly could drop the ball”
KC Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks André Lima VALUE “yeah I think this is just a André Lima probably a win probably decision”
WP We Want Picks picks Mitch Raposo VALUE “I think Mitch Raposo can win this fight” $3.20
UT UFC Predictions Tracker picks André Lima “22 out of 26 or 84.6% Choice André Lima to win” $1.37
BP Bloody Water Podcast picks André Lima VALUE “both of these guys are fast Fighters start fast finish Fast and they're very very exciting”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Lima11-0
L Borjas Decision · R3 Jun '26
W Barez Submission · R3 Mar '25
W Santos Decision · R3 Sep '24
W Raposo Decision · R3 Jun '24
W Severino DQ · R2 Mar '24
Raposo10-3
W Nascimento Decision · R3 Jun '26
W Maksum Decision · R3 Oct '25
L Mudaerji Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Lima Decision · R3 Jun '24