MMA Prophecy
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UFC 295: Procházka vs. Pereira
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AP JP Pereira vs ProcházkaMain Card · Light Heavyweight TA SP Aspinall vs PavlovichMain Card · Heavyweight JA MD Andrade vs DernMain Card · Women'S Strawweight BD MF Denis vs FrevolaMain Card · Lightweight DL PS Lopes vs SabatiniMain Card · Featherweight SE AC Erceg vs CostaPreliminary Card · Flyweight LG TR Godinez vs RicciPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight MR RR Rębecki vs RobertsPreliminary Card · Catchweight NS VB Sadykhov vs BorshchevPreliminary Card · Lightweight JG MM Gordon vs MadsenEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight JC KK Castañeda vs Kyung-hoEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight JV KB Van vs BorjasEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight JE DB Emmers vs BuzukjaEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Andrade v Dern Women'S Strawweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus47 picks · conf 67/99
Andrade 19
28 Dern
TZMULT pick Andrade
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Andrade 26-13 VS 14-5 Dern
5'1" height 5'4"
116 lb weight 116 lb
62" reach 63"
34 age 33
Orthodox stance Orthodox
6.4 strikes landed / min 3.4
50% striking accuracy 39%
5.5 strikes absorbed / min 4.1
54% striking defence 51%
2.2 takedowns / 15 min 0.9
54% takedown accuracy 16%
72% takedown defence 30%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 1.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Mackenzie Dern “I have to pick Mackenzie Dern here ... I love Mackenzie Dern on this”
UC UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Mackenzie Dern “I've got Mackenzie Dern to win”
TS The Fight Week Show picks Jéssica Andrade “at this point at this point I'm really really split 5050 like I'm I'm we done”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Jéssica Andrade VALUE “Jessica Jéssica Andrade was able to stand with Valentina shevchenko”
LM Leftlane MMA picks Mackenzie Dern VALUE “I'm high on Mackenzie Derniego Lopes and I think he gets it done and I love him at Underdog money he's plus 100” $2.00
MM Mmajessic picks Mackenzie Dern “I feel like Mackenzie Dern is probably going to walk away with the win”
LO Luke O'Libre picks Jéssica Andrade VALUE “I'll take take the underdog we'll take Jéssica Andrade”
SH Sherdog.com picks Jéssica Andrade VALUE “I'm going for Jessica Jéssica Andrade plus 150” $2.50
WP We Want Picks picks Mackenzie Dern VALUE “I do think lupy cadin wins this fight”
DS Dynes Sports picks Jéssica Andrade VALUE “certainly somebody going with Jéssica Andrade here...I'Mackenzie Dern rather have the plus money Roosevelt Roberts here I'Mackenzie Dern rather take the fighter up on Jéssica Andrade” $2.70
TP The False 9 Podcast picks Mackenzie Dern VALUE “I would like to think that Mackenzie Dern is going to take the win on this one”
HY Hypecheck picks Mackenzie Dern VALUE “therefore a sprinkle on onra is likely the route I will be going” $2.65
Recent form last five, most recent first
Andrade26-13
L Godínez Decision · R3 Aug '25
L Jasudavicius Submission · R1 May '25
L Silva Decision · R3 Sep '24
W Rodriguez Decision · R3 Apr '24
W Dern KO/TKO · R2 Nov '23
Dern14-5
W Jandiroba Decision · R5 Oct '25
W Ribas Submission · R3 Jan '25
W Godinez Decision · R3 Aug '24
L Lemos Decision · R3 Feb '24
L Andrade KO/TKO · R2 Nov '23