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UFC 295: Procházka vs. Pereira
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Saint Denis v Frevola Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus39 picks · conf 61/99
Saint Denis 22
17 Frevola
TBTHMM pick Saint Denis
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Saint Denis 16-3 VS 11-5-1 Frevola
5'11" height 5'9"
156 lb weight 155 lb
73" reach 71"
30 age 36
Southpaw stance Orthodox
4.4 strikes landed / min 4.6
40% striking accuracy 43%
5.0 strikes absorbed / min 3.5
73% striking defence 68%
1.9 takedowns / 15 min 1.0
57% takedown accuracy 70%
54% takedown defence 72%
1.7 submissions / 15 min 1.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Benoît Saint Denis “I do like Benoît Saint Denis in this fight”
TP The City Life Project picks Benoît Saint Denis VALUE “I think rebec is going to school him here I think rebec is going to school him”
TS The Fight Week Show picks Benoît Saint Denis VALUE “I'm going for VOA as well” $2.58
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Matt Frevola VALUE “I picked Benoît Saint Mackenzie Dernenis”
LM Leftlane MMA picks Benoît Saint Denis VALUE “I'm taking nazim sakov at minus 141 on the money line” $1.71
TB Totally Blitzed picks Benoît Saint Denis “so you're not going Steamroller I can't steamroll this one bro”
LO Luke O'Libre picks Benoît Saint Denis “we'll go with the like favorite there we'll take nazim”
KU Kunath picks Matt Frevola VALUE “I think you should have the other side of this matchup in your player pool as well but do not sleep on that Matt Frevola knockout upside”
DS Dynes Sports picks Benoît Saint Denis “I'm on Benoît Saint Denis ... I'm going to favor Benoît Saint Denis”
HY Hypecheck picks Benoît Saint Denis “as long as Benoît Saint Denis is able to avoid those big shots of fola and get this fight to the mat he should be able to get it done on Saturday” $1.44
MB Michael Bisping picks Matt Frevola “I think Ben was s might take that”
TH TheWeasle picks Benoît Saint Denis “I ultimately do pick Beno St Denise to win this”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Saint Denis16-3
W Hooker KO/TKO · R2 Feb '26
W Dariush KO/TKO · R1 Nov '25
W Ruffy Submission · R2 Sep '25
W Prepolec Submission · R2 May '25
L Moicano KO/TKO · R2 Sep '24
Frevola11-5-1
L Nelson Decision · R3 Oct '25
L Ziam KO/TKO · R3 Sep '24
L Denis KO/TKO · R1 Nov '23
W Dober KO/TKO · R1 May '23
W Azaitar KO/TKO · R1 Nov '22