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Rębecki vs RobertsPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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BD
MF
Denis vs FrevolaMain Card · Lightweight
DL
PS
Lopes vs SabatiniMain Card · Featherweight
SE
AC
Erceg vs CostaPreliminary Card · Flyweight
LG
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Godinez vs RicciPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Rębecki vs RobertsPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Sadykhov vs BorshchevPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Gordon vs MadsenEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
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Van vs BorjasEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Rębecki v Roberts
Catchweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Rębecki 20-4
VS
12-6 Roberts
5'7"
height
6'2"
155 lb
weight
155 lb
66"
reach
73"
33
age
32
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
4.7
strikes landed / min
2.8
48%
striking accuracy
43%
4.1
strikes absorbed / min
3.1
54%
striking defence
52%
3.8
takedowns / 15 min
1.2
75%
takedown accuracy
26%
45%
takedown defence
50%
0.8
submissions / 15 min
0.7
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Mateusz Rębecki
“Mateusz Rębecki is the pick”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Mateusz Rębecki
“Mateusz Rębecki is the pick”
UC
UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Mateusz Rębecki
“I'm having Mateusz Rębecki to win”
UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Mateusz Rębecki
“I'm having Mateusz Rębecki to win”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Mateusz Rębecki VALUE
“I think this guy is going to get finished in the first round”
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Mateusz Rębecki VALUE
“I think this guy is going to get finished in the first round”
LM
Leftlane MMA picks Mateusz Rębecki
“I'm taking Mateusz Rębecki I'm taking a Mateusz Rębecki KO at plus 160 as well”
$1.15
Leftlane MMA picks Mateusz Rębecki
“I'm taking Mateusz Rębecki I'm taking a Mateusz Rębecki KO at plus 160 as well”
$1.15
WP
We Want Picks picks Mateusz Rębecki VALUE
“Mateusz Rębecki should run through this fight”
We Want Picks picks Mateusz Rębecki VALUE
“Mateusz Rębecki should run through this fight”
RP
Rollin Wit Da Punches picks Mateusz Rębecki VALUE
“he's definitely not going to win this fight... we in agreeance on this”
$1.12
Rollin Wit Da Punches picks Mateusz Rębecki VALUE
“he's definitely not going to win this fight... we in agreeance on this”
$1.12
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Mateusz Rębecki
“I'm picking rebecky but I'm going to caution the side of betting it”
$1.15
MMA EXPERTS picks Mateusz Rębecki
“I'm picking rebecky but I'm going to caution the side of betting it”
$1.15
TH
TheWeasle picks Mateusz Rębecki
“I got Mateusz Rębecki against Roosevelt Roberts Rosal Roberts is looking better he has promise right he's very talented and he does have a big height Advantage going into this fight Mateusz Rębecki is only 5' 6 Roberts is like 6'1 6'2 so he could potentially try to catch him with some high kicks keep the jab on him threaten him with those lengthy Guillotines the way he's able to wrap around your neck is pretty crazy with that Long Reach but I do not see him dealing well with the pressure I think Mateusz Rębecki is going to walk him down find some big punches potentially try to take him to the ground and dominate with good heavy top control lending huge ground and pound shots”
TheWeasle picks Mateusz Rębecki
“I got Mateusz Rębecki against Roosevelt Roberts Rosal Roberts is looking better he has promise right he's very talented and he does have a big height Advantage going into this fight Mateusz Rębecki is only 5' 6 Roberts is like 6'1 6'2 so he could potentially try to catch him with some high kicks keep the jab on him threaten him with those lengthy Guillotines the way he's able to wrap around your neck is pretty crazy with that Long Reach but I do not see him dealing well with the pressure I think Mateusz Rębecki is going to walk him down find some big punches potentially try to take him to the ground and dominate with good heavy top control lending huge ground and pound shots”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Roosevelt Roberts
“I'm not touching Roosevelt Roberts he's the cheapest fighter on the Slate”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Roosevelt Roberts
“I'm not touching Roosevelt Roberts he's the cheapest fighter on the Slate”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Mateusz Rębecki VALUE
“I think Mateusz Rębecki goes out there and puts up a big score and gets Roberts out of there”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Mateusz Rębecki VALUE
“I think Mateusz Rębecki goes out there and puts up a big score and gets Roberts out of there”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Rębecki20-4
L
Dawson
May '26
L
Klein
Oct '25
L
Duncan
Aug '25
W
Orolbai
Oct '24
L
Ferreira
May '24
Roberts12-6
L
Klein
Sep '24
L
Rębecki
Nov '23
L
Bahamondes
Aug '21
L
Miller
Jun '20
W
Weaver
May '20