Choose a fight to analyse
AP
JP
Pereira vs ProcházkaMain Card · Light Heavyweight
TA
SP
Aspinall vs PavlovichMain Card · Heavyweight
JA
MD
Andrade vs DernMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
BD
MF
Denis vs FrevolaMain Card · Lightweight
DL
PS
Lopes vs SabatiniMain Card · Featherweight
SE
AC
Erceg vs CostaPreliminary Card · Flyweight
LG
TR
Godinez vs RicciPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
MR
RR
Rębecki vs RobertsPreliminary Card · Catchweight
NS
VB
Sadykhov vs BorshchevPreliminary Card · Lightweight
JG
MM
Gordon vs MadsenEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
JC
KK
Castañeda vs Kyung-hoEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
JV
KB
Van vs BorjasEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
JE
DB
Emmers vs BuzukjaEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
JP
Pereira vs ProcházkaMain Card · Light Heavyweight
TA
SP
Aspinall vs PavlovichMain Card · Heavyweight
JA
MD
Andrade vs DernMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
BD
MF
Denis vs FrevolaMain Card · Lightweight
DL
PS
Lopes vs SabatiniMain Card · Featherweight
SE
AC
Erceg vs CostaPreliminary Card · Flyweight
LG
TR
Godinez vs RicciPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
MR
RR
Rębecki vs RobertsPreliminary Card · Catchweight
NS
VB
Sadykhov vs BorshchevPreliminary Card · Lightweight
JG
MM
Gordon vs MadsenEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
JC
KK
Castañeda vs Kyung-hoEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
JV
KB
Van vs BorjasEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
JE
DB
Emmers vs BuzukjaEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Gordon v Madsen
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Gordon 21-8
VS
12-2 Madsen
5'9"
height
—
156 lb
weight
—
68"
reach
—
37
age
41
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
2.9
strikes landed / min
3.6
48%
striking accuracy
49%
2.0
strikes absorbed / min
4.0
62%
striking defence
52%
2.6
takedowns / 15 min
2.9
61%
takedown accuracy
66%
81%
takedown defence
62%
1.2
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Jared Gordon
“I'm gonna pick Jared Gordon here”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Jared Gordon
“I'm gonna pick Jared Gordon here”
UC
UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Jared Gordon
“side i' call Jared Gordon Gordon to win”
UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Jared Gordon
“side i' call Jared Gordon Gordon to win”
TS
The Fight Week Show picks Jared Gordon
“I'm going to go with Jared Gordon I like Jared Gordon”
The Fight Week Show picks Jared Gordon
“I'm going to go with Jared Gordon I like Jared Gordon”
TS
The Fight Week Show picks Mark Madsen VALUE
“yeah I'm with the underdog as well”
The Fight Week Show picks Mark Madsen VALUE
“yeah I'm with the underdog as well”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Jared Gordon VALUE
“my subscribers and I both picked um Jared Jared Gordon”
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Jared Gordon VALUE
“my subscribers and I both picked um Jared Jared Gordon”
LM
Leftlane MMA picks Jared Gordon VALUE
“I ultimately do believe Jared Jared Gordon gets this one done... I've got a Jared Jared Gordon money line at minus 220”
$1.45
Leftlane MMA picks Jared Gordon VALUE
“I ultimately do believe Jared Jared Gordon gets this one done... I've got a Jared Jared Gordon money line at minus 220”
$1.45
LO
Luke O'Libre picks Mark Madsen
“I think Mark Madsen is just a little bit better athlete”
Luke O'Libre picks Mark Madsen
“I think Mark Madsen is just a little bit better athlete”
MM
MMAFightingonSBN picks Jared Gordon VALUE
“I'll throw out the Jared Gordon uh the Jared cord and Mark Madsen fight I I don't know if it's going to be the most like visually appealing fight but I just I feel like Gordon has been close to having a moment um you know it was supposed to be Patty Pimpin right that's the fight that was so close easily could have gone his way that was supposed to be his moment and and since then and then the unfortunate Clash of heads with Bobby green um but now he's F he's from New York I believe right he's he's a New Yorker um yeah this this this could be a really big moment for if he beats Mark mson uh Madson has been solid in the UFC you know he came in with that great Olympic wrestling pedigree this is the right matchup I feel like for both guys and I'm not saying Jared Gordon beats him inally goes in a run to a title but he's been like regarded this talented guy for so long and I don't feel like the window is closed on him just yet so I I I want to see if he puts on has if he puts on an impressive performance against Mark mson has the crowd roaring behind him and just either comes out with a knockout or like a really convincing decision um he might be one of the guys we're talking about most at the end of the night and of course a guy with a great uh a great personal um personal Back start as well so I I I'm really interested in that I think that's when the card uh with respect to some of the fights before that I think when that's when the card's really going to like really going to wake up”
MMAFightingonSBN picks Jared Gordon VALUE
“I'll throw out the Jared Gordon uh the Jared cord and Mark Madsen fight I I don't know if it's going to be the most like visually appealing fight but I just I feel like Gordon has been close to having a moment um you know it was supposed to be Patty Pimpin right that's the fight that was so close easily could have gone his way that was supposed to be his moment and and since then and then the unfortunate Clash of heads with Bobby green um but now he's F he's from New York I believe right he's he's a New Yorker um yeah this this this could be a really big moment for if he beats Mark mson uh Madson has been solid in the UFC you know he came in with that great Olympic wrestling pedigree this is the right matchup I feel like for both guys and I'm not saying Jared Gordon beats him inally goes in a run to a title but he's been like regarded this talented guy for so long and I don't feel like the window is closed on him just yet so I I I want to see if he puts on has if he puts on an impressive performance against Mark mson has the crowd roaring behind him and just either comes out with a knockout or like a really convincing decision um he might be one of the guys we're talking about most at the end of the night and of course a guy with a great uh a great personal um personal Back start as well so I I I'm really interested in that I think that's when the card uh with respect to some of the fights before that I think when that's when the card's really going to like really going to wake up”
SH
Sherdog.com picks Mark Madsen VALUE
“I'm going for uh Mark Madsen to win his fight against Jared Gordon now I I think it's... plus 163”
$2.63
Sherdog.com picks Mark Madsen VALUE
“I'm going for uh Mark Madsen to win his fight against Jared Gordon now I I think it's... plus 163”
$2.63
WP
We Want Picks picks Jared Gordon VALUE
“Jared Gordon's going to be the pick because of Youth and cardio”
We Want Picks picks Jared Gordon VALUE
“Jared Gordon's going to be the pick because of Youth and cardio”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Gordon21-8
L
Miller
May '26
L
García
Sep '25
W
Moisés
May '25
L
Haqparast
Jun '24
W
Madsen
Nov '23
Madsen12-2
L
Gordon
Nov '23
L
Dawson
Nov '22
W
Pichel
Apr '22
W
Guida
Aug '21
W
Hubbard
Mar '20