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Gaethje vs PoirierMain Card · Lightweight
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JB
Pereira vs BłachowiczMain Card · Light Heavyweight
DL
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Lewis vs LimaMain Card · Heavyweight
BG
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Green vs FergusonMain Card · Lightweight
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Holland vs ChiesaMain Card · Welterweight
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Bonfim vs GilesPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Vergara vs SalvadorPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Kopylov vs RibeiroPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Matthews vs FlowersPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Medić vs SemelsbergerEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
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Maverick vs CachoeiraEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
DP
Gaethje vs PoirierMain Card · Lightweight
AP
JB
Pereira vs BłachowiczMain Card · Light Heavyweight
DL
ML
Lewis vs LimaMain Card · Heavyweight
BG
TF
Green vs FergusonMain Card · Lightweight
KH
MC
Holland vs ChiesaMain Card · Welterweight
GB
TG
Bonfim vs GilesPreliminary Card · Welterweight
CV
VS
Vergara vs SalvadorPreliminary Card · Catchweight
RK
CR
Kopylov vs RibeiroPreliminary Card · Middleweight
JM
DF
Matthews vs FlowersPreliminary Card · Welterweight
UM
MS
Medić vs SemelsbergerEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
MM
PC
Maverick vs CachoeiraEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Lewis v Rogério de Lima
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Lewis 29-13
VS
22-10-1 Rogério de Lima
6'3"
height
—
265 lb
weight
—
79"
reach
—
41
age
41
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
2.5
strikes landed / min
3.7
50%
striking accuracy
57%
2.5
strikes absorbed / min
2.9
40%
striking defence
51%
0.6
takedowns / 15 min
1.4
26%
takedown accuracy
45%
52%
takedown defence
59%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
UC
UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Marcos Rogério de Lima VALUE
“no I'm not sure when do we get the Bulgaria heat removal I'm removing my hat all the time I don't feel like I'm not Guru I can remove my hat whenever I don't have problems with that but I can't I can't remove it because I have a contract with my sponsor I must carry it but I can remove it whenever it's still happening what is Floyd Mayweather the goat they say he never fought anyone in their Prime hoof that's a hard question um there were many good boxers I mean for me for me I know to me goats have been Marciano what for it for the best boxers and never Dodge the boxer ever you can put him on that on that list because he's undefeated and Floyd won all of his fights but I have a few goats on the list for the great fighter I'm just saying I have few goats he could be put on that list or got nothing against it venue foreign more confident in Wonderboy well I also think Wonderboy is going to win”
UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Marcos Rogério de Lima VALUE
“no I'm not sure when do we get the Bulgaria heat removal I'm removing my hat all the time I don't feel like I'm not Guru I can remove my hat whenever I don't have problems with that but I can't I can't remove it because I have a contract with my sponsor I must carry it but I can remove it whenever it's still happening what is Floyd Mayweather the goat they say he never fought anyone in their Prime hoof that's a hard question um there were many good boxers I mean for me for me I know to me goats have been Marciano what for it for the best boxers and never Dodge the boxer ever you can put him on that on that list because he's undefeated and Floyd won all of his fights but I have a few goats on the list for the great fighter I'm just saying I have few goats he could be put on that list or got nothing against it venue foreign more confident in Wonderboy well I also think Wonderboy is going to win”
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Derrick Lewis
“I'm kind of leaning back in the direction of Derrick Lewis I am I crazy let me know in the chat am I crazy I may be picking Derrick Lewis tonight I may do it”
The MMA-Holes picks Derrick Lewis
“I'm kind of leaning back in the direction of Derrick Lewis I am I crazy let me know in the chat am I crazy I may be picking Derrick Lewis tonight I may do it”
WD
Wade Dewell picks Marcos Rogério de Lima
“I think Marcos Rogério de Lima Rogério de Lima is going to win”
Wade Dewell picks Marcos Rogério de Lima
“I think Marcos Rogério de Lima Rogério de Lima is going to win”
KU
Kunath picks Derrick Lewis VALUE
“Derrick Lewis has potential to win this fight in the first round”
Kunath picks Derrick Lewis VALUE
“Derrick Lewis has potential to win this fight in the first round”
MW
Making the Walk picks Derrick Lewis VALUE
Making the Walk picks Derrick Lewis VALUE
HY
Hypecheck picks Derrick Lewis
“I don't see how fading Derrick Lewis is fading Tony Lima”
Hypecheck picks Derrick Lewis
“I don't see how fading Derrick Lewis is fading Tony Lima”
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Derrick Lewis
“I'm gonna go with Derrick Lewis but a single bet Derrick Lewis by knockout and that's mentioning Derrick Lewis fight that Derrick Lewis wins bro I'm we got Derrick Lewis money line single bet all right now we got Derrick Lewis to win”
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Derrick Lewis
“I'm gonna go with Derrick Lewis but a single bet Derrick Lewis by knockout and that's mentioning Derrick Lewis fight that Derrick Lewis wins bro I'm we got Derrick Lewis money line single bet all right now we got Derrick Lewis to win”
ZP
Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Derrick Lewis VALUE
“Derrick Lewis first Underdog Derrick Lewis I think he's gonna win this fight”
Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Derrick Lewis VALUE
“Derrick Lewis first Underdog Derrick Lewis I think he's gonna win this fight”
SL
SPORTS TREE LTD. picks Derrick Lewis VALUE
“I like Derrick Lewis here I know he's lost four of his last 5 but he's been fighting some of the best heavyweights in the world”
$2.80
SPORTS TREE LTD. picks Derrick Lewis VALUE
“I like Derrick Lewis here I know he's lost four of his last 5 but he's been fighting some of the best heavyweights in the world”
$2.80
CO
Covers picks Derrick Lewis VALUE
“I'm gonna take Lewis at that number he's taking on Marcos Rogério de Lima”
Covers picks Derrick Lewis VALUE
“I'm gonna take Lewis at that number he's taking on Marcos Rogério de Lima”
FP
Fight Night Picks picks Marcos Rogério de Lima
“I'm going with Brazil's de Lima not going with the black beast Derrick Lewis”
Fight Night Picks picks Marcos Rogério de Lima
“I'm going with Brazil's de Lima not going with the black beast Derrick Lewis”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Lewis29-13
L
Hokit
Jun '26
L
Cortes-Acosta
Jan '26
W
Teixeira
Jul '25
W
Nascimento
May '24
L
Almeida
Nov '23
Rogério de Lima22-10-1
W
Tafa
Feb '24
L
Lewis
Jul '23
W
Cortes-Acosta
Apr '23
W
Arlovski
Oct '22
L
Ivanov
May '22