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UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Green v Ferguson Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus74 picks · conf 77/99
Green 57
17 Ferguson
GFPFMA pick Green
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Green 13-10-1 VS 26-11 Ferguson
— height 5'11"
— weight 170 lb
— reach 76"
— age 42
— stance Orthodox
— strikes landed / min 4.9
— striking accuracy 45%
— strikes absorbed / min 4.4
— striking defence 55%
— takedowns / 15 min 0.4
— takedown accuracy 35%
— takedown defence 66%
— submissions / 15 min 0.9
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
UC UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Tony Ferguson VALUE “I can't bet against Tony Ferguson”
TM The MMA-Holes picks Bobby Green “I'm gonna go with Bobby Green”
TO The Call Out picks Tony Ferguson VALUE “I'm taking Tony Ferguson on this”
SA Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Bobby Green “I think Bobby Green wins this fight”
HP Heavy P picks Bobby Green “the king not named Elvis but Bobby Green Wonder Boy”
TL The life of laASMR picks Bobby Green “I think Bobby Green can get this done”
KU Kunath picks Tony Ferguson VALUE “I think Tony Ferguson could catch him with a left hand and knock him out”
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Bobby Green VALUE “I'm picking Bobby green to win I'll be right guys”
YP Your Fight Pod picks Bobby Green “I think he's gonna keep that losing streak going”
RA Ringside Report Network - Combat Sports Authority picks Tony Ferguson VALUE “I'm going with my man Tony Ferguson”
SF Story of the Fight picks Tony Ferguson VALUE “give me Tony Ferguson”
GR Grelka Republic picks Bobby Green VALUE “except for my Bobby Green dude”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Green13-10-1
W Miller Decision · R3 Apr '24
L Turner KO/TKO · R1 Dec '23
W Dawson KO/TKO · R1 Oct '23
W Ferguson Submission · R3 Jul '23
L Dober KO/TKO · R2 Dec '22
Ferguson26-11
L Chiesa Submission · R1 Aug '24
L Pimblett Decision · R3 Dec '23
L Green Submission · R3 Jul '23
L Diaz Submission · R4 Sep '22
L Chandler KO/TKO · R2 May '22