MMA Prophecy
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UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Bueno Silva
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Holm v Bueno Silva Women'S Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus44 picks · conf 65/99
Holm 33
11 Bueno Silva
DDBEJh pick Holm
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Holm 15-7 VS 10-6-1 Bueno Silva
5'8" height 5'6"
136 lb weight 135 lb
69" reach 67"
44 age 34
Southpaw stance Orthodox
3.1 strikes landed / min 4.0
40% striking accuracy 59%
2.9 strikes absorbed / min 5.0
55% striking defence 52%
0.9 takedowns / 15 min 0.6
30% takedown accuracy 29%
76% takedown defence 66%
0.1 submissions / 15 min 1.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
DR DraftKings picks Holly Holm VALUE “I think Holly Holm wins the decision here”
SA Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Holly Holm VALUE “my lean here would be the Holly home sod” $1.59
SA Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Mayra Bueno Silva “I'm going to carve out some exposure for Mario Mayra Bueno Silva as well”
MM MMAWeekly.com picks Mayra Bueno Silva “Mayra Bueno Silva takes on third rank former Champion Holly Holm”
WP We Want Picks picks Holly Holm VALUE “I like Holly Holm to win this fight” $87.00
OS Odds Shark picks Mayra Bueno Silva VALUE “it's Mayra Bueno Silva at plus 150 the underdog who I really like in this fight” $2.50
WP We Want Picks picks Holly Holm VALUE “I Have a Holly Holm money line got it at a massive discount at -160” $1.62
SD Santino DeFranco picks Holly Holm VALUE “I see Holly coming out as the Victor here”
SN SPORTS JEDI NETWORK picks Holly Holm VALUE “that's how you'll beat um whenever on Silva if your Mario Bros Silva”
FP Fight Night Picks picks Holly Holm “I've got Holly Holm in the matchup because I do think that the Striking is going to pay enough dividends for Holly Holm in the matchup”
HY Hypecheck picks Holly Holm “it's a favorite pass spot here”
AD Addicted2Combat picks Holly Holm “most confident fighter is Jack Della Maddalena melchizio Costa Evan Elder Azat Maksum Alexander Munoz Melsik Baghdasaryan Holly Holm”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Holm15-7
L Harrison Submission · R2 Apr '24
W Santos Decision · R3 Mar '23
L Vieira Decision · R5 May '22
W Aldana Decision · R5 Oct '20
W Pennington Decision · R3 Jan '20
Bueno Silva10-6-1
L Montague Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Cavalcanti Decision · R3 Nov '25
L Jasudavicius Decision · R3 Feb '25
L Chiasson KO/TKO · R2 Jun '24
L Pennington Decision · R5 Jan '24