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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Pérez v Evans-Smith Women'S Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus26 picks · conf 50/99
Pérez 20
6 Evans-Smith
IBJh1T pick Pérez
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Pérez 11-2 VS 6-6 Evans-Smith
height 5'8"
weight 135 lb
reach 67"
31 age 38
Switch stance Orthodox
2.8 strikes landed / min 4.0
58% striking accuracy 34%
1.3 strikes absorbed / min 4.6
57% striking defence 53%
5.4 takedowns / 15 min 0.9
51% takedown accuracy 22%
66% takedown defence 50%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Ashlee Evans-Smith VALUE “I'm going to be picking her to win here” $4.00
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Ailín Pérez VALUE “give me the more here on her fantasy score I think she goes out there and beats Ashlee Evans-Smith she's heavily favored to do so”
MM MMAWeekly.com picks Ailín Pérez “Ailín Pérez takes on Ashlee Evans-Smith”
WP We Want Picks picks Ailín Pérez VALUE “I think Ailín Pérez can get the takedowns can get the control uh can potentially I don't know about win by stoppage because Ashley Evan Smith is insanely tough but alien Perez could probably rack up some very real points” $89.00
SD Santino DeFranco picks Ailín Pérez VALUE “I think she can get takedown just by tenacity and put a lot of volume in in the face so Ailín Pérez”
IP It's Time - UFC Picks picks Ailín Pérez VALUE “I went Ailín Pérez all day yeah I'll make this nice and quick um none against Ashlee Evans-Smith she is a tough you know fighter as a whole to her losses are by sub I don't see Elon Ailín Pérez getting a sub necessarily because she get takedowns if she wanted I think she's better everywhere”
BM Bert MMA picks Ashlee Evans-Smith “do not bet Ashley evanssmith aylin Perez”
BM Bert MMA picks Ailín Pérez “do not bet Ashley evanssmith aylin Perez”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Ailín Pérez “give me Ailín Pérez to get it done laying minus 225” $1.44
EB ESPN BET picks Ashlee Evans-Smith VALUE “Ashlee Evans-Smith has fought better competition I think she's a live dog”
WP We Want Picks picks Ailín Pérez VALUE “I like the more on aylin Perez she is going to take Ashlee Evans-Smith down that's how Aylen Perez fights”
MM Martian MMA picks Ailín Pérez VALUE “I think Perez should probably win just by you know being a little more active and you know tenacious in there” $1.44
Recent form last five, most recent first
Pérez11-2
W Chiasson Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Rosa Decision · R3 Jan '25
W Zheleznyakova Submission · R1 Sep '24
W Edwards Decision · R3 Jun '24
W Pudilová Decision · R3 Nov '23
Evans-Smith6-6
L Pérez Decision · R3 Jul '23
L Dumont Decision · R3 Nov '20
L Lee Decision · R3 Feb '19
W Rawlings Decision · R3 Apr '18
L Moras Submission · R1 Sep '17