MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Bueno Silva
Choose a fight to analyse
HH MS Holm vs SilvaMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight JM BH Maddalena vs HafezMain Card · Welterweight FP OA Prado vs AzaitarMain Card · Lightweight PJ AD Jun-yong vs DuraevMain Card · Middleweight ND CC Dumont vs ChandlerMain Card · Women'S Featherweight NS TM Sadykhov vs McKinneyMain Card · Lightweight MB TL Baghdasaryan vs LutzPreliminary Card · Featherweight VD IN Dudakova vs NunesPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight MC AL Costa vs LingoPreliminary Card · Featherweight EE GV Elder vs ValdezPreliminary Card · Lightweight AM TN Maksum vs NamPreliminary Card · Flyweight AM CI Munoz vs IIIPreliminary Card · Lightweight AP AE Pérez vs Evans-SmithPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Costa v Lingo Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Consensus22 picks · conf 46/99
Costa 14
8 Lingo
“1MMPS pick Costa
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Costa 26-7 VS 9-3 Lingo
5'10" height —
145 lb weight —
71" reach —
29 age 31
Southpaw stance Orthodox
3.5 strikes landed / min 3.9
46% striking accuracy 37%
2.3 strikes absorbed / min 4.9
58% striking defence 57%
2.5 takedowns / 15 min 0.4
35% takedown accuracy 66%
52% takedown defence 75%
1.1 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
UC UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Austin Lingo VALUE “Austin Lingo versus Melquizael Costa uh lingo versus Costa fight starts round three foreign I'm pretty much confident that he might win the fight on if he is able to keep it to keep it on the feet”
MM MMAWeekly.com picks Melquizael Costa “Melquizael Costa squares off against Austin Lingo”
HY Hypecheck picks Melquizael Costa VALUE “I'm going to take the shot on the underdog once again in this matchup”
“S “And NEW” MMA Show picks Melquizael Costa VALUE “I think he's a dude to keep an eye on as well”
DS DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Austin Lingo “the pick's gonna be Costa” $1.42
IP It's Time - UFC Picks picks Austin Lingo VALUE “both of us going with Austin Austin Lingo”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Melquizael Costa “give me Melquizael Costa here” $1.49
SH Sherdog.com picks Melquizael Costa VALUE “minus 196 Amir aliak Barry to win” $1.51
HB Half The Battle picks Austin Lingo VALUE “I'm gonna go Austin Lingo for the upset”
HB Half The Battle picks Melquizael Costa “I'll take her to get the win”
MM MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Melquizael Costa “I got to go with the Elder here”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Austin Lingo VALUE “my prediction's gonna be Austin Lingo to win a close match up” $3.00
Recent form last five, most recent first
Costa26-7
L Allen Decision · R5 May '26
W Ige KO/TKO · R1 Feb '26
W Charrière KO/TKO · R1 Dec '25
W Erosa Decision · R3 May '25
W Rodriguez Decision · R3 Mar '25
Lingo9-3
L Costa Decision · R3 Jul '23
L Landwehr Submission · R2 Mar '23
W Saldaña Decision · R3 Aug '21
W Kilburn Decision · R3 Jan '21
L Zalal Decision · R3 Feb '20