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Baghdasaryan vs LutzPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Jun-yong vs DuraevMain Card · Middleweight
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Baghdasaryan vs LutzPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Dudakova vs NunesPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Baghdasaryan v Lutz
Featherweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Baghdasaryan 8-3
VS
12-4 Lutz
5'9"
height
5'8"
145 lb
weight
146 lb
70"
reach
72"
34
age
31
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
5.3
strikes landed / min
3.7
61%
striking accuracy
46%
3.1
strikes absorbed / min
3.2
58%
striking defence
44%
0.0
takedowns / 15 min
2.0
0%
takedown accuracy
44%
72%
takedown defence
69%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Melsik Baghdasaryan
“Tucker Lutz against Melsik Baghdasaryan it back to sarian wins it's probably a first round knockout”
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Melsik Baghdasaryan
“Tucker Lutz against Melsik Baghdasaryan it back to sarian wins it's probably a first round knockout”
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Tucker Lutz VALUE
“Tucker Lots good Underdog that I like to Target”
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Tucker Lutz VALUE
“Tucker Lots good Underdog that I like to Target”
MM
MMAWeekly.com picks Melsik Baghdasaryan
“Melsik Baghdasaryan thanks on Tucker Lutz”
MMAWeekly.com picks Melsik Baghdasaryan
“Melsik Baghdasaryan thanks on Tucker Lutz”
WP
We Want Picks picks Tucker Lutz VALUE
“I think Tucker Lutz is going to come in grapple heavy get the takedowns early ride them out and win this fight”
$71.00
We Want Picks picks Tucker Lutz VALUE
“I think Tucker Lutz is going to come in grapple heavy get the takedowns early ride them out and win this fight”
$71.00
WP
We Want Picks picks Tucker Lutz VALUE
“I'm talking lots of wrestles which is what he does he should be able to get the takedowns control that fight”
We Want Picks picks Tucker Lutz VALUE
“I'm talking lots of wrestles which is what he does he should be able to get the takedowns control that fight”
HY
Hypecheck picks Tucker Lutz VALUE
“I love melik in this spot”
Hypecheck picks Tucker Lutz VALUE
“I love melik in this spot”
AD
Addicted2Combat picks Melsik Baghdasaryan
“most confident fighter is Jack Della Maddalena melchizio Costa Evan Elder Azat Maksum Alexander Munoz Melsik Baghdasaryan”
Addicted2Combat picks Melsik Baghdasaryan
“most confident fighter is Jack Della Maddalena melchizio Costa Evan Elder Azat Maksum Alexander Munoz Melsik Baghdasaryan”
PR
Premium-Picks picks Melsik Baghdasaryan VALUE
“I like Melsik Baghdasaryan all day here uh probably over I don't think he's gonna like viciously headshot Kom in the first round or something but I just think he's gonna hit him with hard shots throughout rack up the points and beat him up so I do have Melsik Baghdasaryan in a couple of parlays”
$1.62
Premium-Picks picks Melsik Baghdasaryan VALUE
“I like Melsik Baghdasaryan all day here uh probably over I don't think he's gonna like viciously headshot Kom in the first round or something but I just think he's gonna hit him with hard shots throughout rack up the points and beat him up so I do have Melsik Baghdasaryan in a couple of parlays”
$1.62
DS
DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Melsik Baghdasaryan
“but that'll Madeleine is the pick”
$1.17
DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Melsik Baghdasaryan
“but that'll Madeleine is the pick”
$1.17
IP
It's Time - UFC Picks picks Tucker Lutz VALUE
“both of us going with the dog and Tucker Tucker Lutz”
It's Time - UFC Picks picks Tucker Lutz VALUE
“both of us going with the dog and Tucker Tucker Lutz”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Baghdasaryan8-3
L
Magomedov
Jun '26
L
Silva
Feb '25
W
Lutz
Jul '23
L
Culibao
Feb '23
W
Souza
Nov '21
Lutz12-4
L
Baghdasaryan
Jul '23
L
Pineda
Mar '23
L
Sabatini
Nov '21
W
Aguilar
May '21