MMA Prophecy
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UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana
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AN IA Nunes vs AldanaMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight CO BD Oliveira vs DariushMain Card · Lightweight MM AF Malott vs FugittMain Card · Welterweight DI NL Ige vs LandwehrMain Card · Featherweight MB EA Barriault vs AndersMain Card · Middleweight NI CC Imavov vs CurtisPreliminary Card · Middleweight JJ MM Jasudavicius vs MaverickPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight AZ AQ Zahabi vs QilengPreliminary Card · Bantamweight KN BB Nelson vs BilderPreliminary Card · Featherweight SE DD Erceg vs DvořákEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight DB MO Belbiţă vs OliveiraEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Nunes v Aldana Women'S Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus33 picks · conf 56/99
Nunes 21
12 Aldana
HTFGSA pick Nunes
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Nunes 23-5 VS 15-8 Aldana
5'8" height 5'9"
135 lb weight 136 lb
69" reach 69"
38 age 38
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.5 strikes landed / min 5.2
51% striking accuracy 39%
2.6 strikes absorbed / min 6.6
57% striking defence 56%
2.7 takedowns / 15 min 0.1
54% takedown accuracy 50%
82% takedown defence 77%
0.7 submissions / 15 min 0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Amanda Nunes “my pick here is Amanda Nunes” $1.29
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Irene Aldana VALUE “I'm taking a shot on Irene Aldana pre-fight I bet it's small down to about plus 250” $3.50
FH Fight HQ picks Amanda Nunes “I'm gonna go Amanda Nunes” $1.31
SD Santino DeFranco picks Amanda Nunes VALUE “I think Amanda Nunes is the better fighter”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Amanda Nunes VALUE “I'm taking Amanda Nunes who has 13 not get wins”
MJ MMA Junkie picks Amanda Nunes “final thoughts on the end of your 12th straight UFC tournament [Applause] tomorrow baby let's go hey she is folks the Lioness Vancouver”
EB ESPN BET picks Irene Aldana “when this thing opened Ian Irene Aldana Aldana was plus 320 which means that there has been a significant amount of movement on the side of Irene Aldana Aldana” $3.50
TB Totally Blitzed picks Amanda Nunes VALUE “Amanda Nunes is gonna win this fight” $1.31
FR FREESTYLEBENDER picks Irene Aldana “aldana I'm picking all Irene Aldana picking her by”
GU GuillotineGeeks picks Amanda Nunes “my take is I feel like a man that's gonna retain that belt um we don't know how it'll go if it goes to decisions”
GU GuillotineGeeks picks Irene Aldana VALUE “I'm gonna pick Irene Aldana uh I think she's pretty damn good and you know Amanda Nunes um yeah she's she's great but uh this is gonna be a close-ass fight it's gonna be a close ass fight in my eyes so I'm gonna take the the underdog”
BE BetMGM picks Irene Aldana VALUE “I think that Irene Aldana has the skill set to beat Amanda Nunes and she has looked very good as of late she has looked confident she has looked technical and I do think she's a live dog and I do think she is worth looking at and I do think this fight goes into the championship round”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Nunes23-5
W Aldana Decision · R5 Jun '23
W Peña Decision · R5 Jul '22
L Peña Submission · R2 Dec '21
W Anderson Submission · R1 Mar '21
W Spencer Decision · R5 Jun '20
Aldana15-8
L Dumont Decision · R3 Sep '24
W Rosa Decision · R3 Dec '23
L Nunes Decision · R5 Jun '23
W Chiasson KO/TKO · R3 Sep '22
W Kunitskaya KO/TKO · R1 Jul '21