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UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Imavov v Curtis Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus21 picks · conf 44/99
Imavov 7
14 Curtis
HEUSFW pick Imavov
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Imavov 17-4 VS 32-12 Curtis
6'3" height 5'10"
185 lb weight 170 lb
75" reach 76"
30 age 38
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.2 strikes landed / min 5.8
57% striking accuracy 51%
2.8 strikes absorbed / min 6.2
54% striking defence 52%
2.2 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
64% takedown accuracy 0%
89% takedown defence 82%
1.2 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Chris Curtis VALUE “Chris Curtis on the money line” $2.38
UC UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Chris Curtis VALUE “I'm siding with Curtis on that fight I want Chris Curtis to win that fight”
FH Fight HQ picks Nassourdine Imavov VALUE “I'm going to be going nasarine imov” $1.62
SD Santino DeFranco picks Chris Curtis VALUE “give me Chris Chris Curtis”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Chris Curtis VALUE “I think Chris Curtis is going to get this done”
EB ESPN BET picks Nassourdine Imavov VALUE “give me Nassourdine Nassourdine Imavov over Chris Curtis Chris Curtis Curtis I think Eva Bob will get it done probably by decision”
EB ESPN BET picks Chris Curtis “Chris Curtis Curtis just fought in April he took a headbutt that dropped him I think he's fighting a little soon not enough volume”
TB Totally Blitzed picks Nassourdine Imavov VALUE “I'm riding with the Frenchman”
TB Totally Blitzed picks Chris Curtis VALUE “I can't do it... I can't do it nope can't so and honestly I think that'd be our pick for fire tonight” $2.30
SA Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Chris Curtis “if there is a knockout it's probably a little bit more likely to be on the Chris Curtis side”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Nassourdine Imavov “my pick here nazarudino mavov but it's not an overconfident go out in bed it type pick because you have a close money line in a fight that could be competitive who knows Chris Curtis ends up stealing a split decision wouldn't be crazy I believe Nassourdine Imavov striking from range and height difference here is going to be a factor even though the reach is identical you've got to understand that the arm length will still favor Nassourdine Imavov the Kicks Will favor a Marvel ultimately though does it come down to Cana Mob Of Control the Gap can he keep uh Chris Curtis from closing the Gap rather so controlling the Gap I guess kind of works they're not letting them inside that Gap that close range is willing and really it needs to be able to stay moving distance striking I think go with more of a jack Hermanson game plan try to strike from range and not bang with Chris Curtis if he sits in the pocket that's where you could get in trouble but ultimately if a Marvel is intelligent here I do believe he can technically outstrike a Chris Curtis and win it two rounds to one” $1.66
SH Sherdog.com picks Nassourdine Imavov VALUE “Tyler Diamond a plus 500 uh to be mob lead Cavalier” $6.50
Recent form last five, most recent first
Imavov17-4
W Borralho Decision · R5 Sep '25
W Adesanya KO/TKO · R2 Feb '25
W Allen Decision · R3 Sep '24
W Cannonier KO/TKO · R4 Jun '24
W Dolidze Decision · R5 Feb '24
Curtis32-12
L Orolbai Decision · R3 Mar '26
W Griffin Decision · R3 Jul '25
L Kopylov KO/TKO · R3 Jan '25
L Allen Decision · R5 Apr '24
W Barriault Decision · R3 Jan '24