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UFC on ABC: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Almeida v Rozenstruik Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus9 picks · conf 27/99
Almeida 6
3 Rozenstruik
HMGPCW pick Almeida
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Almeida 22-4 VS 15-5 Rozenstruik
6'3" height 6'2"
237 lb weight 252 lb
79" reach 78"
35 age 38
Orthodox stance Orthodox
2.5 strikes landed / min 3.8
64% striking accuracy 49%
0.7 strikes absorbed / min 2.7
40% striking defence 51%
6.8 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
59% takedown accuracy 0%
75% takedown defence 75%
2.6 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Jailton Almeida “jail ten Jailton Almeida Almeida is supposed to win this fight”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Jailton Almeida “Jailton Almeida submission for Jailton Almeida is -360 ... Jailton Almeida will be smart and he'll he'll be Still rocking with Jailton Almeida”
CL Clenbat picks Jairzinho Rozenstruik VALUE “Rosen strike is an excellent Underdog opportunity” $6.00
HB Half The Battle picks Jailton Almeida “I gotta go with the minus 500 favorite Jailton Almeida and Almeida to get it done” $1.20
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jailton Almeida VALUE “if Jailton Almeida wins I think think he easily surpasses 100 points and I think he has a solid chance of finding his way on the optimal lineup”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jairzinho Rozenstruik VALUE “Rose instructs Path to Victory is probably a 60-second knockout honestly”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Jailton Almeida “big parlay Jailton Almeida Almeida Karl Williams Williams Alex Morono Alex Morono Morono and Carlos Carlos Ulberg Carlos Ulberg what do you think I uh literally think all of them win”
HY Hypecheck picks Jairzinho Rozenstruik VALUE $4.80
HY Hypecheck picks Jailton Almeida VALUE $1.17
WP We Want Picks picks Jailton Almeida “No direct quote found in transcript for this fight.”
WP We Want Picks picks Jairzinho Rozenstruik “No direct quote found in transcript for this fight.”
WP We Want Picks picks Jailton Almeida VALUE “I gotta go with Almeida in this match”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Almeida22-4
L Kuniev Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Volkov Decision · R3 Oct '25
W Spivac KO/TKO · R1 Jan '25
W Romanov Submission · R1 Jun '24
L Blaydes KO/TKO · R2 Mar '24
Rozenstruik15-5
L Pavlovich Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Tuivasa Decision · R3 Aug '24
W Gaziev KO/TKO · R4 Mar '24
L Almeida Submission · R1 May '23
W Daukaus KO/TKO · R1 Dec '22