Choose a fight to analyse
JA
JR
Almeida vs RozenstruikMain Card · Heavyweight
JW
AS
Walker vs SmithMain Card · Light Heavyweight
IG
DR
Garry vs RodriguezMain Card · Welterweight
CU
IP
Ulberg vs PotieriaMain Card · Light Heavyweight
AM
TM
Morono vs MeansMain Card · Welterweight
MB
CM
Brown vs McGeePreliminary Card · Welterweight
KW
CS
Williams vs ShermanPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
DA
CS
Andrade vs StamannPreliminary Card · Catchweight
MB
KJ
Böhm vs Ji-yeonPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BB
GG
Battle vs GreenPreliminary Card · Catchweight
TL
JC
Lisboa vs ClarkPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
JR
Almeida vs RozenstruikMain Card · Heavyweight
JW
AS
Walker vs SmithMain Card · Light Heavyweight
IG
DR
Garry vs RodriguezMain Card · Welterweight
CU
IP
Ulberg vs PotieriaMain Card · Light Heavyweight
AM
TM
Morono vs MeansMain Card · Welterweight
MB
CM
Brown vs McGeePreliminary Card · Welterweight
KW
CS
Williams vs ShermanPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
DA
CS
Andrade vs StamannPreliminary Card · Catchweight
MB
KJ
Böhm vs Ji-yeonPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BB
GG
Battle vs GreenPreliminary Card · Catchweight
TL
JC
Lisboa vs ClarkPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Morono v Means
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Morono 24-12
VS
33-17-1 Means
5'11"
height
6'2"
171 lb
weight
171 lb
72"
reach
75"
35
age
42
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.0
strikes landed / min
5.0
40%
striking accuracy
49%
4.6
strikes absorbed / min
3.6
57%
striking defence
60%
0.3
takedowns / 15 min
1.1
25%
takedown accuracy
40%
47%
takedown defence
64%
0.3
submissions / 15 min
0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Alex Morono VALUE
“the pick is definitely the favorite here Alex Morono 144 I think it's great value and I definitely parlay it too I don't see a weighted Tim Means winning”
$2.44
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Alex Morono VALUE
“the pick is definitely the favorite here Alex Morono 144 I think it's great value and I definitely parlay it too I don't see a weighted Tim Means winning”
$2.44
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Alex Morono VALUE
“I'm going morono here”
Santino DeFranco picks Alex Morono VALUE
“I'm going morono here”
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Tim Means
“Tim Means he tends to fold he's facing Alex Morono ... Tim Means is just forth so we got Daniel Rodriguez ... Tim Means for that one main event”
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Tim Means
“Tim Means he tends to fold he's facing Alex Morono ... Tim Means is just forth so we got Daniel Rodriguez ... Tim Means for that one main event”
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Tim Means VALUE
“Tim Means Dirty Bird versus Alex Morono just OG's going at it love it”
The MMA-Holes picks Tim Means VALUE
“Tim Means Dirty Bird versus Alex Morono just OG's going at it love it”
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Alex Morono VALUE
“Tim Means Dirty Bird versus Alex Morono just OG's going at it love it”
The MMA-Holes picks Alex Morono VALUE
“Tim Means Dirty Bird versus Alex Morono just OG's going at it love it”
CL
Clenbat picks Alex Morono VALUE
“my lock of the week is Alex Morono to win against Tim Means”
Clenbat picks Alex Morono VALUE
“my lock of the week is Alex Morono to win against Tim Means”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Alex Morono VALUE
“I think morono can potentially get means out of there”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Alex Morono VALUE
“I think morono can potentially get means out of there”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Tim Means VALUE
“give me the Dirty Bird give me Tim Means to win this match up”
$3.00
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Tim Means VALUE
“give me the Dirty Bird give me Tim Means to win this match up”
$3.00
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Tim Means
“we got Alex Morono in Tim Means”
MMA EXPERTS picks Tim Means
“we got Alex Morono in Tim Means”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Morono24-12
L
Donchenko
Feb '26
L
Leal
Mar '25
L
Rodriguez
Oct '24
L
Price
Jun '24
W
McGee
Apr '24
Means33-17-1
L
McGee
Oct '24
L
Medić
Apr '24
W
Fialho
Sep '23
L
Morono
May '23
L
Griffin
Oct '22