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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Machado Garry v Rodriguez
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Machado Garry 15-0
VS
18-5 Rodriguez
6'3"
height
6'1"
171 lb
weight
170 lb
74"
reach
74"
28
age
39
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
5.5
strikes landed / min
7.5
55%
striking accuracy
49%
3.2
strikes absorbed / min
5.5
52%
striking defence
58%
0.8
takedowns / 15 min
0.6
55%
takedown accuracy
54%
69%
takedown defence
57%
0.3
submissions / 15 min
0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“d-rod's a pick he's an underdog 310 he was 350 on the early prediction show I'm sticking with the pick I told LOL if I was gonna switch but I'm not I'm not I'm sticking with Underdog drod”
$4.10
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“d-rod's a pick he's an underdog 310 he was 350 on the early prediction show I'm sticking with the pick I told LOL if I was gonna switch but I'm not I'm not I'm sticking with Underdog drod”
$4.10
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Ian Machado Garry
“Ian Machado Garry here sways rocking with Ian Machado Garry ... Ian Machado Garry for that one main event”
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Ian Machado Garry
“Ian Machado Garry here sways rocking with Ian Machado Garry ... Ian Machado Garry for that one main event”
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Daniel Rodriguez
“Ian Machado Garry here sways rocking with Ian Machado Garry ... I think Daniel Rodriguez makes um Ian Machado Garry doesn't take shots very well and Daniel Rodriguez is a volume Striker it ends early ... Ian Machado Garry for that one main event”
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Daniel Rodriguez
“Ian Machado Garry here sways rocking with Ian Machado Garry ... I think Daniel Rodriguez makes um Ian Machado Garry doesn't take shots very well and Daniel Rodriguez is a volume Striker it ends early ... Ian Machado Garry for that one main event”
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“I Ian Machado Garry there we go”
The MMA-Holes picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“I Ian Machado Garry there we go”
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Daniel Rodriguez VALUE
“Daniel Rodriguez by the way we got to get so”
The MMA-Holes picks Daniel Rodriguez VALUE
“Daniel Rodriguez by the way we got to get so”
CL
Clenbat picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“I am extremely confident that Ian Machado Garry will win”
Clenbat picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“I am extremely confident that Ian Machado Garry will win”
WP
We Want Picks picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“I think this is gonna be Natan Levy taking down Daniel Rodriguez over and over and over again I think that's what this fight is Natan Levy very good Grappler but he's not necessarily just like submitting people right off the rip right these fights are going they're getting dragged out I I think we see the beginning of the third round”
We Want Picks picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“I think this is gonna be Natan Levy taking down Daniel Rodriguez over and over and over again I think that's what this fight is Natan Levy very good Grappler but he's not necessarily just like submitting people right off the rip right these fights are going they're getting dragged out I I think we see the beginning of the third round”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Daniel Rodriguez VALUE
“if he wins it's probably a first round knockout here”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Daniel Rodriguez VALUE
“if he wins it's probably a first round knockout here”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“it's going to be Natan Levy implementing the wrestling the grappling and eventually submitting Daniel Rodriguez in that second or third round”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“it's going to be Natan Levy implementing the wrestling the grappling and eventually submitting Daniel Rodriguez in that second or third round”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“my prediction is going to be that the future Ian Machado Garry is gonna win this match up”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“my prediction is going to be that the future Ian Machado Garry is gonna win this match up”
HY
Hypecheck picks Daniel Rodriguez VALUE
“I'm a bit biased in the spot as Natan NOT_IN_ROSTER_4 is indeed part of the hype Che fam... I've worked with him many times in the past with all that being said though I don't see a world in which Daniel Rodriguez beats Natan leevy he's way better wherever this fight goes”
Hypecheck picks Daniel Rodriguez VALUE
“I'm a bit biased in the spot as Natan NOT_IN_ROSTER_4 is indeed part of the hype Che fam... I've worked with him many times in the past with all that being said though I don't see a world in which Daniel Rodriguez beats Natan leevy he's way better wherever this fight goes”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Machado Garry15-0
W
Muhammad
Nov '25
W
Prates
Apr '25
L
Rakhmonov
Dec '24
W
Page
Jun '24
W
Neal
Feb '24
Rodriguez18-5
W
Holland
Jul '25
W
Ponzinibbio
May '25
W
Morono
Oct '24
L
Gastelum
Jun '24
L
Garry
May '23