Choose a fight to analyse
JA
JR
Almeida vs RozenstruikMain Card · Heavyweight
JW
AS
Walker vs SmithMain Card · Light Heavyweight
IG
DR
Garry vs RodriguezMain Card · Welterweight
CU
IP
Ulberg vs PotieriaMain Card · Light Heavyweight
AM
TM
Morono vs MeansMain Card · Welterweight
MB
CM
Brown vs McGeePreliminary Card · Welterweight
KW
CS
Williams vs ShermanPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
DA
CS
Andrade vs StamannPreliminary Card · Catchweight
MB
KJ
Böhm vs Ji-yeonPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BB
GG
Battle vs GreenPreliminary Card · Catchweight
TL
JC
Lisboa vs ClarkPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
JR
Almeida vs RozenstruikMain Card · Heavyweight
JW
AS
Walker vs SmithMain Card · Light Heavyweight
IG
DR
Garry vs RodriguezMain Card · Welterweight
CU
IP
Ulberg vs PotieriaMain Card · Light Heavyweight
AM
TM
Morono vs MeansMain Card · Welterweight
MB
CM
Brown vs McGeePreliminary Card · Welterweight
KW
CS
Williams vs ShermanPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
DA
CS
Andrade vs StamannPreliminary Card · Catchweight
MB
KJ
Böhm vs Ji-yeonPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BB
GG
Battle vs GreenPreliminary Card · Catchweight
TL
JC
Lisboa vs ClarkPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Ulberg v Potieria
Light Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Ulberg 14-1
VS
20-8 Potieria
6'4"
height
6'3"
205 lb
weight
188 lb
77"
reach
75"
35
age
30
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
5.5
strikes landed / min
4.6
63%
striking accuracy
50%
2.6
strikes absorbed / min
4.7
64%
striking defence
50%
2.7
takedowns / 15 min
0.8
71%
takedown accuracy
18%
77%
takedown defence
66%
1.0
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
CL
Clenbat picks Carlos Ulberg VALUE
“I think that he is going to be so much better and it's a very confident pick for me”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Carlos Ulberg VALUE
“I think it's a really good matchup for Carlos Ulberg he's the second biggest favorite on the card at this point 9300 if he wins I think he should go out there and finish Ihor Potieria and I think he does it probably in the first round”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Carlos Ulberg VALUE
“give me Carlos Carlos Ulberg to win this match up”
WP
We Want Picks picks Carlos Ulberg VALUE
“I'm going Carlos Ulberg here one of the more confident picks”
$1.23
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Ihor Potieria
“you're going to be doing it should we I'm breaking the five in a row should we streak you're like a pair it with that man smoking like the last five times So eventually I'm gonna be right and this is the time I feel like maybe this may be the time but I gotta stick with them I originally picked them I was gonna change it but I got a stick of them he's a four dollar Underdog he's a big Underdog man”
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Carlos Ulberg VALUE
“I'm going Carlos alberg yeah people are gonna be disagreeing with me on this one oh yeah you're going to be doing it should we I'm breaking the five in a row should we streak you're like a pair it with that man smoking like the last five times So eventually I'm gonna be right and this is the time I feel like maybe this may be the time but I gotta stick with them I originally picked them I was gonna change it but I got a stick of them he's a four dollar Underdog he's a big Underdog man he is some of these odds have changed since Monday so and uh you know as long as ihor can he has a padded record as well another guy padded record five fights before he came into the UFC fight a guy that was 111 017 Owen one oh that's fraudulent it's pretty bad that's very fraudulent man I really like Carlos alberg trained that City kickboxing with Izzy everyone's gonna agree commented l in the chat for loaf if you think he's gonna do the [ __ ] we've been here too comment below if you think Lowe is going to be doing the [ __ ] we hear oh I think I got him Carlos alberg nothing much else Dad I think he's gonna sleep I'm here he has five Knockouts four of them are in the first round and a common opponent Nikolai Nega Monroe slapped him in the first round and Eeyore had trouble with him he just got past a Shogun Rua who was you know retired right after that fight not much not much credit in that win and like I said all his other wins before he came into the UFC very fraudulent he there's a reason why he's four dollars I'm not gonna say anything onto the way to the fight all right and then you're gonna be doing a showy yeah for sure thing I hope you get over cocky again [ __ ] Carl's gets hurt in the first round”
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Carlos Ulberg VALUE
“I am taking Carlos oldberg to get the job done here”
$1.27
CL
Clenbat picks Carlos Ulberg
“I'm gonna be betting on this fight but the problem is he's a minus 300 favorite Natan Levy”
$1.33
WP
We Want Picks picks Carlos Ulberg VALUE
“Uber is the more technical kickboxer he's going to be my pick”
GP
Greedo Plays picks Ihor Potieria
“give me the black Jag Carl's overick here to win this fight on the prelims I really like this guy's striking game as a whole I think he's gonna go in there and I think he's gonna knock out ihopoteria it is the it feels like the common pick I'm gonna take Carlos over going there I think he's gonna win this fight pretty quickly he can meet oberg doing this fight by first round knockout”
WP
We Want Picks picks Carlos Ulberg VALUE
“uburg's gonna be the pick”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Ulberg14-1
W
Procházka
Apr '26
W
Reyes
Sep '25
W
Błachowicz
Mar '25
W
Oezdemir
Nov '24
W
Menifield
May '24
Potieria20-8
L
Tulio
Jan '25
L
Almeida
Oct '24
L
Pereira
May '24
W
Bryczek
Feb '24
L
Bellato
Dec '23