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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Barboza v Quarantillo Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus10 picks · conf 30/99
Barboza 1
9 Quarantillo
M pick Barboza
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Barboza 24-12 VS 18-6 Quarantillo
5'11" height 5'10"
155 lb weight 146 lb
75" reach 70"
40 age 37
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.1 strikes landed / min 7.4
44% striking accuracy 56%
4.7 strikes absorbed / min 5.6
56% striking defence 43%
0.5 takedowns / 15 min 1.2
50% takedown accuracy 23%
72% takedown defence 61%
0.1 submissions / 15 min 1.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
HB Half The Battle picks Billy Quarantillo “so I'm gonna go with Billy q” $1.59
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Edson Barboza VALUE “I've been picking Underdog it's in Edson Barboza to win... I'm gonna go add some Edson Barboza by second or third round TKO” $2.40
KU Kunath picks Billy Quarantillo “he's going to beat him up he's going to put a pace on him”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Edson Barboza “Edson Barboza Now 37 years old I don't like that I think Billy's gonna put it on him here”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Billy Quarantillo VALUE “I think he's getting Edson Barboza at the right time here I think Billy's gonna put it on him here I think he's gonna break him I think he's gonna battle some adversity early like always and every Billy corintillo fight but I think it's going to put it on Edson Barboza and finish him late”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Billy Quarantillo VALUE “I'm gonna go nicolao”
BD Big Dave picks Billy Quarantillo “I'm gonna have to stick with Billy Quarantillo”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Billy Quarantillo “give me Billy Q in the co-main event”
PR Premium-Picks picks Billy Quarantillo “I have a strong lean to Billy Quarantillo” $1.56
SY Super Sodiq Yusuff picks Billy Quarantillo VALUE “I'm going with Billy Quarantillo”
WP We Want Picks picks Billy Quarantillo VALUE “I think Nick Lau is going to get this done” $1.65
Recent form last five, most recent first
Barboza24-12
L Turner KO/TKO · R1 Dec '25
L Klose Decision · R3 Aug '25
L Murphy Decision · R5 May '24
W Yusuff Decision · R5 Oct '23
W Quarantillo KO/TKO · R1 Apr '23
Quarantillo18-6
L Swanson KO/TKO · R3 Dec '24
L Zalal Submission · R2 Mar '24
W Jackson Decision · R3 Aug '23
L Barboza KO/TKO · R1 Apr '23
W Hernandez KO/TKO · R2 Dec '22