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Barboza vs QuarantilloMain Card · Featherweight
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Murzakanov vs JacobyMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Cuțelaba vs BoserMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Munhoz vs GutiérrezMain Card · Bantamweight
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García vs GuidaMain Card · Lightweight
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Algeo vs BrownPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Royval vs NicolauPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Cummings vs HermanPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Robertson vs RodríguezPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Zellhuber vs VannataPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Algeo v Brown
Featherweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Algeo 18-9
VS
17-11 Brown
6'0"
height
—
146 lb
weight
—
73"
reach
—
37
age
36
Switch
stance
Switch
5.9
strikes landed / min
3.4
51%
striking accuracy
44%
4.4
strikes absorbed / min
2.9
47%
striking defence
49%
1.0
takedowns / 15 min
3.4
50%
takedown accuracy
57%
55%
takedown defence
36%
0.1
submissions / 15 min
1.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Bill Algeo
“I've been fairly confident that bill algio is going to win... the pick is going to remain Bill Algeo”
$1.53
MMA EXPERTS picks Bill Algeo
“I've been fairly confident that bill algio is going to win... the pick is going to remain Bill Algeo”
$1.53
KU
Kunath picks Bill Algeo
“I definitely prefer the other side of this matchup”
Kunath picks Bill Algeo
“I definitely prefer the other side of this matchup”
KU
Kunath picks T.J. Brown
“I do think that T.J. Brown is in Prime position to just turn the Slate on its head”
Kunath picks T.J. Brown
“I do think that T.J. Brown is in Prime position to just turn the Slate on its head”
WP
We Want Picks picks T.J. Brown VALUE
“I like T.J. T.J. Brown to win but Bellagio is tough... I think T.J. Brown T.J. Brown wins this fight I'm gonna take my shot at 7 400”
We Want Picks picks T.J. Brown VALUE
“I like T.J. T.J. Brown to win but Bellagio is tough... I think T.J. Brown T.J. Brown wins this fight I'm gonna take my shot at 7 400”
WP
We Want Picks picks Bill Algeo VALUE
“I like Bill Algeoy Quarantillo to win 8 700 is right there but again if it looks like this Benitez fight the Finish might be a little trickier than that but he could put up well over a hundred points just with aggression takedowns control time forward pressure all that”
We Want Picks picks Bill Algeo VALUE
“I like Bill Algeoy Quarantillo to win 8 700 is right there but again if it looks like this Benitez fight the Finish might be a little trickier than that but he could put up well over a hundred points just with aggression takedowns control time forward pressure all that”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks T.J. Brown
“T.J. Brown 7400 I don't like him to win this fight but if he does win this fight he's going to put up a very big score because his path to Victory is going to be taking down Bill Algeo”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks T.J. Brown
“T.J. Brown 7400 I don't like him to win this fight but if he does win this fight he's going to put up a very big score because his path to Victory is going to be taking down Bill Algeo”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Bill Algeo VALUE
“I'm more so on the bill algo side myself I think he has some some good upside of this matchup”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Bill Algeo VALUE
“I'm more so on the bill algo side myself I think he has some some good upside of this matchup”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks T.J. Brown VALUE
“I really like algo here”
Santino DeFranco picks T.J. Brown VALUE
“I really like algo here”
BD
Big Dave picks Bill Algeo
“my final pick is Bill Algeo”
Big Dave picks Bill Algeo
“my final pick is Bill Algeo”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks T.J. Brown VALUE
“I'm gonna side with the underdog T.J. Brown to get the wrestling going”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks T.J. Brown VALUE
“I'm gonna side with the underdog T.J. Brown to get the wrestling going”
WP
We Want Picks picks T.J. Brown
“I think they will win via decision”
We Want Picks picks T.J. Brown
“I think they will win via decision”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Algeo18-9
L
Doo-ho
Jul '24
L
Nelson
Mar '24
W
Hernandez
Oct '23
W
Brown
Apr '23
L
Fili
Sep '22
Brown17-11
L
Elkins
Oct '23
L
Algeo
Apr '23
W
Silva
Dec '22
L
Nuerdanbieke
Jun '22
W
Rosa
Jan '22