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UFC on ESPN: Holloway vs. Allen
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Munhoz v Gutiérrez Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus11 picks · conf 31/99
Munhoz 4
7 Gutiérrez
SCPK pick Munhoz
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Munhoz 20-10 VS 8-10-1 Gutiérrez
5'6" height 6'6"
135 lb weight 222 lb
65" reach 78"
39 age
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.4 strikes landed / min 3.6
41% striking accuracy 52%
6.3 strikes absorbed / min 4.5
55% striking defence 72%
0.5 takedowns / 15 min 0.6
16% takedown accuracy 48%
82% takedown defence 53%
0.5 submissions / 15 min 1.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
HB Half The Battle picks Chris Gutiérrez “so I'm gonna go with Chris Gutiérrez to pass this test” $1.44
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Chris Gutiérrez VALUE “The pick here is Chris Chris Gutiérrez... I'm saying Chris Gutiérrez unanimous decision” $1.50
KU Kunath picks Pedro Munhoz VALUE “in the last value play worth mentioning is more of a punt play considering Pedro Munhoz scores a lot of points in fights that he's losing”
WP We Want Picks picks Chris Gutiérrez VALUE “I think Chris Gutiérrez Gutiérrez wins I think he's gonna light up Pedro Munhoz's leg I think Chris Gutiérrez is going to go to Pedro Munhoz's head and look to get it done”
WP We Want Picks picks Chris Gutiérrez VALUE “I think Chris Gutiérrez is going to beat up Pedro Munhoz I think he's going to land a ton of strikes potentially going to knock down potentially get a finish I think they're almost mirror images of each other except Pedro's a little older seems to be a little worn out and Chris Gutierrez is far far more powerful so I like the more than 89 and a half fantasy points on him”
SH Sherdog.com picks Pedro Munhoz VALUE “I'm going for Jan lias he's plus 400 at the moment... the floor of the week which is kind of no longer a flyer yeah to win in the main event in cage ears” $3.85
BD Big Dave picks Chris Gutiérrez “I'm gonna go Chris Chris Gutiérrez”
KU Kunath picks Pedro Munhoz VALUE “I am picking Pedro Munhoz to win I do think he wins by decision”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Chris Gutiérrez “I'm gonna side with Chris Gutierrez to win this match up”
PR Premium-Picks picks Pedro Munhoz “I like Chris to get it done”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Chris Gutiérrez VALUE “I am going to be taking Chris Gutiérrez Gutiérrez to get the job done here” $1.45
CL Clenbat picks Pedro Munhoz “I'm picking Munoz”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Munhoz20-10
L Zahabi Decision · R3 Nov '24
L Phillips Decision · R3 Mar '24
L Vera Decision · R3 Aug '23
W Gutiérrez Decision · R3 Apr '23
L Cruz Decision · R3 Dec '21
Gutiérrez8-10-1
L Basharat Decision · R3 Oct '25
W Castañeda Decision · R3 Apr '25
W Le Decision · R3 Aug '24
L Yadong Decision · R5 Dec '23
W Heili Decision · R3 Oct '23