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UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Burns v Masvidal Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus23 picks · conf 47/99
Burns 18
5 Masvidal
HMTMES pick Burns
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Burns 22-9 VS 35-17 Masvidal
5'10" height 5'11"
170 lb weight 170 lb
71" reach 74"
39 age 41
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.2 strikes landed / min 4.0
48% striking accuracy 47%
3.6 strikes absorbed / min 3.0
52% striking defence 64%
2.1 takedowns / 15 min 1.4
37% takedown accuracy 59%
53% takedown defence 72%
0.5 submissions / 15 min 0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Gilbert Burns VALUE “Gilbert Burns the pick to get the win here” $1.24
ES etoft21 sports picks Gilbert Burns “I took Gilbert Burns by submission plus 225”
TT TFB's Talks picks Jorge Masvidal “I've said this before Jorge Masvidal I'm going to pick Jorge Masvidal though um but I pick Jorge Masvidal not just because... I'm going with Jorge game braid Jorge Masvidal”
ET Extra Thiccc picks Gilbert Burns “I think Gilbert Burns probably has Advantage because you know it's extremely well-rounded and you know Jorge Masvidal is two he's a big strong Striker I just think the burns probably is a little bit more dangerous in every area... just I think Gilbert Gilbert Burns's just a little bit better in every area”
MJ MMA JOEY picks Jorge Masvidal VALUE “Gilbert Burns does look goofy as hell he's gonna lose now”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Gilbert Burns “I'm gonna go with Gilbert Burns here he's I'm gonna go with Gilbert Burns here Gilbert Burns wants this title shot he has to and Gilbert Burns to win... I got money Gilbert Burns”
CD Cappers Direct picks Gilbert Burns “I like Gilbert Burns let's get into your good friend of mine Jorge Masvidal”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jorge Masvidal “I think Burns should win the fight”
WP We Want Picks picks Jorge Masvidal VALUE “I do think George masford all loses this fight”
OM One On One | MMA picks Gilbert Burns “yeah I predict Gilbert Burns I actually think Gilbert Burns might stop him in some way he didn't submit him probably I don't see Jorge Masvidal tapping ... I think Gilbert Burns submits him I think he gets him down beats him up and it just gets ugly and then he submits him”
MJ MMA JOEY picks Gilbert Burns VALUE “Burns and out of Sonya boom”
HB Half The Battle picks Gilbert Burns “I'm gonna pick Gilbert to win this fight” $1.21
Recent form last five, most recent first
Burns22-9
L Malott KO/TKO · R3 Apr '26
L Morales KO/TKO · R1 May '25
L Brady Decision · R5 Sep '24
L Maddalena KO/TKO · R3 Mar '24
L Muhammad Decision · R5 May '23
Masvidal35-17
L Burns Decision · R3 Apr '23
L Covington Decision · R5 Mar '22
L Usman KO/TKO · R2 Apr '21
L Usman Decision · R5 Jul '20
W Diaz KO/TKO · R3 Nov '19