MMA Prophecy
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UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Pinheiro v Waterson-Gomez Women'S Strawweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus11 picks · conf 31/99
Pinheiro 7
4 Waterson-Gomez
MUACPW pick Pinheiro
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Pinheiro 11-4 VS 18-13 Waterson-Gomez
5'2" height 5'3"
115 lb weight 115 lb
63" reach 62"
33 age 40
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.4 strikes landed / min 3.4
40% striking accuracy 46%
4.0 strikes absorbed / min 4.2
61% striking defence 48%
1.8 takedowns / 15 min 1.4
33% takedown accuracy 33%
69% takedown defence 69%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Michelle Waterson-Gomez VALUE “Michelle Waterson-Gomez at like plus 250 plus 300 late ... I think gonna light those plays up” $3.50
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Luana Pinheiro “I'm picking Luana Pinheiro to win” $1.65
ES etoft21 sports picks Michelle Waterson-Gomez “I'm going her by decision though at plus 200”
WP We Want Picks picks Luana Pinheiro VALUE “I think Michelle's probably gonna lose this fight”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Luana Pinheiro “the prediction's gotta be the favorite the Brazilian Luana Pinheiro to win against an agent Michelle Waterson-Gomez”
WP We Want Picks picks Michelle Waterson-Gomez VALUE “the third one is Michelle”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Michelle Waterson-Gomez “I will take Michelle Waterson-Gomez to pull off the upset here and win this fight by decision”
WP We Want Picks picks Luana Pinheiro VALUE “give me loopy here”
WP We Want Picks picks Michelle Waterson-Gomez “give me Michelle Michelle Waterson-Michelle Waterson-Gomez-Michelle Waterson-Gomez”
SY Super Sodiq Yusuff picks Luana Pinheiro “I'm going with Luana Pinheiro”
TG THE MMA GURU picks Michelle Waterson-Gomez VALUE “I'm going with Michelle Waterson-Gomez here”
WP We Want Picks picks Luana Pinheiro “Elena Panera is the pick”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Pinheiro11-4
L Pennington Decision · R3 May '25
L Robertson Decision · R3 Nov '24
L Hill Submission · R2 May '24
L Ribas KO/TKO · R3 Nov '23
W Waterson-Gomez Decision · R3 Apr '23
Waterson-Gomez18-13
L Robertson Decision · R3 Jun '24
L Rodriguez KO/TKO · R2 Sep '23
L Pinheiro Decision · R3 Apr '23