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Garcia vs NuerdanbiekeEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
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Adesanya vs PereiraMain Card · Middleweight
GB
JM
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RF
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Font vs YañezMain Card · Bantamweight
KH
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Holland vs PonzinibbioMain Card · Welterweight
CR
RJ
Rodriguez vs Rosas Jr.Main Card · Catchweight
KG
CC
Gastelum vs CurtisPreliminary Card · Middleweight
LP
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Pinheiro vs Waterson-GomezPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Pyfer vs MeerschaertPreliminary Card · Middleweight
LG
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Godinez vs CalvilloPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Bahamondes vs OgdenEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
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Garcia vs NuerdanbiekeEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
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Hughes vs AmorimEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Garcia v Nuerdanbieke
Featherweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Garcia 19-5
VS
39-12 Nuerdanbieke
6'0"
height
5'8"
145 lb
weight
145 lb
75"
reach
69"
34
age
32
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
5.0
strikes landed / min
1.9
56%
striking accuracy
45%
2.3
strikes absorbed / min
2.6
46%
striking defence
50%
1.2
takedowns / 15 min
3.3
40%
takedown accuracy
35%
88%
takedown defence
28%
0.6
submissions / 15 min
0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Steve Garcia
“I'm taking Steve Garcia actually so I'm taking Steve Garcia actually so I'm taking Steve Garcia actually so I'm picking because I think he's cleaner on the feet”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Steve Garcia
“I'm taking Steve Garcia actually so I'm taking Steve Garcia actually so I'm taking Steve Garcia actually so I'm picking because I think he's cleaner on the feet”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Shayilan Nuerdanbieke VALUE
“the pick is Ben Shayilan Nuerdanbieke over Steve Garcia all week”
$1.57
MMA EXPERTS picks Shayilan Nuerdanbieke VALUE
“the pick is Ben Shayilan Nuerdanbieke over Steve Garcia all week”
$1.57
KU
Kunath picks Steve Garcia VALUE
“he's a great play this week on DraftKings if you're running multiple lineups you want to have you some Steve Garcia”
Kunath picks Steve Garcia VALUE
“he's a great play this week on DraftKings if you're running multiple lineups you want to have you some Steve Garcia”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Shayilan Nuerdanbieke VALUE
“I think Shayilan Nuerdanbieke is going to have a big reach disadvantage as well against Steve Garcia”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Shayilan Nuerdanbieke VALUE
“I think Shayilan Nuerdanbieke is going to have a big reach disadvantage as well against Steve Garcia”
WP
We Want Picks picks Shayilan Nuerdanbieke
“shylon wins this fight”
We Want Picks picks Shayilan Nuerdanbieke
“shylon wins this fight”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Steve Garcia VALUE
“I actually like Garcia here for the upset”
Santino DeFranco picks Steve Garcia VALUE
“I actually like Garcia here for the upset”
BD
Big Dave picks Steve Garcia VALUE
“I'm gonna go with the favorite shall you land”
Big Dave picks Steve Garcia VALUE
“I'm gonna go with the favorite shall you land”
SY
Super Sodiq Yusuff picks Steve Garcia
“I'm going with Steve Garcia”
Super Sodiq Yusuff picks Steve Garcia
“I'm going with Steve Garcia”
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Shayilan Nuerdanbieke
“I'm going with Shayilan Nuerdanbieke Nuerdanbieke here”
THE MMA GURU picks Shayilan Nuerdanbieke
“I'm going with Shayilan Nuerdanbieke Nuerdanbieke here”
WP
We Want Picks picks Shayilan Nuerdanbieke
“shylon is for sure the pick”
We Want Picks picks Shayilan Nuerdanbieke
“shylon is for sure the pick”
AM
Artem MMA picks Shayilan Nuerdanbieke VALUE
“I've got Shayla nerdy Mickey should be able to get it done over Steve Garcia”
Artem MMA picks Shayilan Nuerdanbieke VALUE
“I've got Shayla nerdy Mickey should be able to get it done over Steve Garcia”
PR
Premium-Picks picks Shayilan Nuerdanbieke
“I say nerd and back a by decision I really like the over two and a half but you know Garcia as a shitty cardio shitty but he did last three rounds on uh with Luis Pena on his back uh full back amount three rounds in a row so who knows man”
Premium-Picks picks Shayilan Nuerdanbieke
“I say nerd and back a by decision I really like the over two and a half but you know Garcia as a shitty cardio shitty but he did last three rounds on uh with Luis Pena on his back uh full back amount three rounds in a row so who knows man”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Garcia19-5
L
Lopes
Jun '26
W
Onama
Nov '25
W
Kattar
Jul '25
W
Nelson
Sep '24
W
Seung-woo
Jul '24
Nuerdanbieke39-12
L
Costa
Jun '24
L
Garcia
Apr '23
W
Minner
Nov '22
W
Brown
Jun '22
W
Soriano
Nov '21