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UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Holland v Ponzinibbio Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus25 picks · conf 50/99
Holland 20
5 Ponzinibbio
MTM1SA pick Holland
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Holland 28-15 VS 30-8 Ponzinibbio
6'3" height 6'0"
170 lb weight 170 lb
81" reach 73"
33 age 39
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.2 strikes landed / min 4.7
49% striking accuracy 41%
3.2 strikes absorbed / min 4.5
50% striking defence 61%
0.8 takedowns / 15 min 0.6
38% takedown accuracy 32%
54% takedown defence 66%
0.6 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Kevin Holland “I don't hate Kevin Holland and he is the pick Kevin Holland and he is the pick Kevin Holland and he is the pick”
MP Mike's MMA Picks picks Kevin Holland VALUE $1.42
TT TFB's Talks picks Kevin Holland “what did I pick I second round TKO Kevin Holland”
MJ MMA JOEY picks Kevin Holland VALUE “I think Kevin Holland Holland's gonna win too”
KU Kunath picks Kevin Holland “Kevin Holland over 60 and a half significant strikes”
MJ MMA JOEY picks Santiago Ponzinibbio “I hope Santiago Santiago Ponzinibbionibbio wins”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Kevin Holland “I want to go with Kevin Holland I'm gonna go with Kevin Holland I'm gonna go with Kevin Holland here you with Kevin Holland Big Mouth loud mouth leaning towards Kevin Holland”
CD Cappers Direct picks Kevin Holland “I think Kevin Holland wins inside the distance”
WP We Want Picks picks Kevin Holland VALUE “I do think he wins this fight”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Santiago Ponzinibbio VALUE “which is going to be a one unit Underdog play on Santiago ponz nibio I locked this in over a week ago uh well out from the fight at plus 2 30.” $3.30
MJ MMA JOEY picks Kevin Holland VALUE “who wins Kevin or game bread probably Kevin”
HB Half The Battle picks Santiago Ponzinibbio VALUE “I'm gonna go pawns” $3.15
Recent form last five, most recent first
Holland28-15
W Brown Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Malott Decision · R3 Oct '25
L Rodriguez Decision · R3 Jul '25
W Luque Submission · R2 Jun '25
W Nelson Decision · R3 Mar '25
Ponzinibbio30-8
L Rodriguez KO/TKO · R3 May '25
W Harris KO/TKO · R3 Jan '25
L Salikhov Decision · R3 Jul '24
L Holland KO/TKO · R3 Apr '23
W Morono KO/TKO · R3 Dec '22