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UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Rakhmonov v Neal Catchweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus13 picks · conf 34/99
Rakhmonov 10
3 Neal
M1MUSA pick Rakhmonov
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Rakhmonov 18-0 VS 16-7 Neal
6'1" height 5'11"
171 lb weight 171 lb
77" reach 75"
31 age 35
Orthodox stance Southpaw
4.1 strikes landed / min 5.0
61% striking accuracy 51%
2.4 strikes absorbed / min 5.4
51% striking defence 57%
1.5 takedowns / 15 min 0.6
29% takedown accuracy 50%
100% takedown defence 87%
1.8 submissions / 15 min 0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Geoff Neal “I'm on Geoff Neal in the spot”
WP We Want Picks picks Shavkat Rakhmonov VALUE “rachmanov should absolutely win this fight”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Shavkat Rakhmonov “I'm gonna go with Shavkat Rakhmonov here bro and like this Shavkat Rakhmonov is dominating but yeah man I I I think Shavkat Rakhmonov future I got Shavkat Rakhmonov”
AM Artem MMA picks Shavkat Rakhmonov “whoever rookmanov's grappling skills could potentially give him the edge in the fight as Neil has struggled with takedown defense in the past”
MJ MMA JOEY picks Shavkat Rakhmonov VALUE “Jeff Neosho caught Shavkat Rakhmonov did very well”
TT TFB's Talks picks Geoff Neal VALUE “I'll pick NOT_IN_ROSTER_14 by TKO in the later round probably fourth round”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Shavkat Rakhmonov “I'm gonna side with Shavkat Rakhmonov”
SM Scrap and Roll MMA picks Geoff Neal “Shavkat Rakhmonov gonna get that man out of there”
SM Scrap and Roll MMA picks Shavkat Rakhmonov “I'm going for him too I'm going for him”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Shavkat Rakhmonov VALUE “I like Shavkat Rakhmonov Rakhmonov with Ian Garry Ian Garry Garry as something that's you know terrible as far as if you're doing that all the time but I think it's gonna hit”
1M 138 MMA picks Shavkat Rakhmonov VALUE “my picks Rock went off let me know what you guys have”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Shavkat Rakhmonov VALUE “I like shop cut here at 9200 but on the flip side if shav got Rockman off for for some reason is not able to take this fight down to the mat I lean towards him doing so and that's why I'll have a lot more Shavkat Rakhmonov Rockman off” $1.39
Recent form last five, most recent first
Rakhmonov18-0
W Garry Decision · R5 Dec '24
W Thompson Submission · R2 Dec '23
W Neal Submission · R3 Mar '23
W Magny Submission · R2 Jun '22
W Harris KO/TKO · R1 Feb '22
Neal16-7
L Medić KO/TKO · R1 Feb '26
L Prates KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
W Anjos KO/TKO · R1 Oct '24
L Garry Decision · R3 Feb '24
L Rakhmonov Submission · R3 Mar '23