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UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Barriault v Marquez Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus13 picks · conf 34/99
Barriault 6
7 Marquez
1USADW pick Barriault
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Barriault 17-10 VS 9-5 Marquez
6'1" height 6'2"
185 lb weight 186 lb
74" reach 72"
36 age 36
Orthodox stance Orthodox
6.0 strikes landed / min 4.8
47% striking accuracy 45%
5.6 strikes absorbed / min 5.1
52% striking defence 50%
0.2 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
25% takedown accuracy 0%
67% takedown defence 53%
0.1 submissions / 15 min 2.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WB WeeklyMMA Breakdowns picks Julian Marquez VALUE “Julian Marquez I'm going Julian Marquez”
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Julian Marquez “not only is Julian Marquez my play but he um Julian Marquez is a fighter I like... my pick is Julian Marquez... yeah I'm on Julian Marquez” $2.05
WP We Want Picks picks Julian Marquez VALUE “I like Julian Marquez I actually think he's going to get this done”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Julian Marquez VALUE “I'm picking Julian Marquez to Edge it out over Marc-André Barriault”
KU Kunath picks Julian Marquez VALUE “I think that he's gonna win a decision but a stoppage win for Marquez would not surprise me at all”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Marc-André Barriault “I'm gonna side with Mark Andre Barry out”
WP We Want Picks picks Julian Marquez “he thinks that Julian Marquez can win this fight no matter how he wants it and that's why he is likely”
WI WEIGHING IN picks Marc-André Barriault “Marc-André Barriault is tough as better get it done quick”
WP We Want Picks picks Julian Marquez VALUE “I like Julia Julian Marquez Marquez here”
1M 138 MMA picks Marc-André Barriault “I'll take Marc-André Barriault not confident in it at all”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Marc-André Barriault VALUE “I think between the cardio the power and the volume I I lean Marquez here but there's a very very very close fight to call um but I I like Marquez and I've kind of always I feel like I've always [__] on him a little bit”
WP We Want Picks picks Julian Marquez VALUE “I'm going with the underdog here and the Cuban Missile Crisis Julian Marquez Marquez”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Barriault17-10
L Oleksiejczuk Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Magomedov Decision · R3 Jul '25
W Silva KO/TKO · R1 May '25
L Stoltzfus KO/TKO · R1 Nov '24
L Pyfer KO/TKO · R1 Jun '24
Marquez9-5
L Brundage KO/TKO · R1 Mar '25
L Reese KO/TKO · R1 Jun '24
L Barriault KO/TKO · R2 Mar '23
L Rodrigues KO/TKO · R1 Jun '22
W Alvey Submission · R2 Apr '21