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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
du Plessis v Brunson
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
du Plessis 23-3
VS
23-9 Brunson
6'1"
height
—
185 lb
weight
—
76"
reach
—
32
age
42
Switch
stance
Southpaw
4.9
strikes landed / min
3.5
53%
striking accuracy
47%
3.3
strikes absorbed / min
3.0
58%
striking defence
51%
3.1
takedowns / 15 min
3.1
45%
takedown accuracy
33%
50%
takedown defence
85%
0.9
submissions / 15 min
0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WB
WeeklyMMA Breakdowns picks Dricus du Plessis VALUE
“Dricus du Plessis it's Dricus du Plessis I'm going Derek Brunson's wrestling is a one uh”
WeeklyMMA Breakdowns picks Dricus du Plessis VALUE
“Dricus du Plessis it's Dricus du Plessis I'm going Derek Brunson's wrestling is a one uh”
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Derek Brunson VALUE
“I really like Derek Brunson it in too badly if Derek Brunson ends up”
$3.00
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Derek Brunson VALUE
“I really like Derek Brunson it in too badly if Derek Brunson ends up”
$3.00
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Dricus du Plessis VALUE
“I love Dricus du Plessis on the love that Dricus du Plessis is less than 9k he's why uh why is Dricus du Plessis the pick here”
$1.40
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Dricus du Plessis VALUE
“I love Dricus du Plessis on the love that Dricus du Plessis is less than 9k he's why uh why is Dricus du Plessis the pick here”
$1.40
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Dricus du Plessis VALUE
“I'm taking him as my pick I'm going with the dog Derek Brunson”
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Dricus du Plessis VALUE
“I'm taking him as my pick I'm going with the dog Derek Brunson”
ES
etoft21 sports picks Derek Brunson VALUE
“I'm gonna go with the guy who could probably have the you know stronger cardio um when it comes to the fights and that's dupless”
$1.43
etoft21 sports picks Derek Brunson VALUE
“I'm gonna go with the guy who could probably have the you know stronger cardio um when it comes to the fights and that's dupless”
$1.43
DS
Dynes Sports picks Dricus du Plessis
“I like the Dricus du Plessis guys... favorite Dricus du Plessis here... I really like Dricus du Plessis in this spot”
$1.45
Dynes Sports picks Dricus du Plessis
“I like the Dricus du Plessis guys... favorite Dricus du Plessis here... I really like Dricus du Plessis in this spot”
$1.45
KU
Kunath picks Derek Brunson VALUE
“I think that a vintage blonde Brunson performance scores well on DraftKings”
Kunath picks Derek Brunson VALUE
“I think that a vintage blonde Brunson performance scores well on DraftKings”
MJ
MMA JOEY picks Derek Brunson
“I'm definitely going with Derek”
MMA JOEY picks Derek Brunson
“I'm definitely going with Derek”
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Dricus du Plessis
“I'm gonna go with Dricus du Plessis here... give me Dricus du Plessis of money line minus Derek Brunson I really love Dricus du Plessis... we got Dricus du Plessis money line minus 250”
$1.40
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Dricus du Plessis
“I'm gonna go with Dricus du Plessis here... give me Dricus du Plessis of money line minus Derek Brunson I really love Dricus du Plessis... we got Dricus du Plessis money line minus 250”
$1.40
CM
Cyclone MMA picks Derek Brunson VALUE
“I'm taking Derek Brunson”
Cyclone MMA picks Derek Brunson VALUE
“I'm taking Derek Brunson”
MJ
MMA JOEY picks Derek Brunson VALUE
“I got Derek Brunson I watched the recent fights I couldn't pick dracus”
MMA JOEY picks Derek Brunson VALUE
“I got Derek Brunson I watched the recent fights I couldn't pick dracus”
TT
TFB's Talks picks Derek Brunson VALUE
“I'm going with Derek Brunson”
TFB's Talks picks Derek Brunson VALUE
“I'm going with Derek Brunson”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
du Plessis23-3
L
Chimaev
Aug '25
W
Strickland
Feb '25
W
Adesanya
Aug '24
W
Strickland
Jan '24
W
Whittaker
Jul '23
Brunson23-9
L
Plessis
Mar '23
L
Cannonier
Feb '22
W
Till
Sep '21
W
Holland
Mar '21
W
Shahbazyan
Aug '20