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UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Basharat v Blackshear Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus9 picks · conf 27/99
Basharat 9
0 Blackshear
1MUCWF pick Basharat
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Basharat 14-0 VS 15-7-1 Blackshear
5'8" height 5'10"
136 lb weight 136 lb
71" reach 72"
28 age 31
Orthodox stance Switch
4.0 strikes landed / min 4.3
45% striking accuracy 47%
2.9 strikes absorbed / min 4.1
64% striking defence 49%
1.0 takedowns / 15 min 2.2
33% takedown accuracy 37%
58% takedown defence 68%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 1.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WB WeeklyMMA Breakdowns picks Farid Basharat VALUE “I'm going for Reed uh next Farid Basharat”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Farid Basharat VALUE “he's gonna get this one done I'm just playing at money Line 120” $2.20
DS Dynes Sports picks Farid Basharat “I would expect it to be a decision likely for Farid Basharat here to be a decision likely for Farid Basharat here to be a decision likely for Farid Basharat here just picking apart last year as this gonna be a matter of how quickly uh Farid Basharat could get back to his feet I think Farid Basharat could get back to his feet I think Farid Basharat could get back to his feet I think just knowing uh the camp he has that completely out of hand I do think Farid Basharat's the Jamie Pickett I'll probably spend a Farid Basharat's the Jamie Pickett I'll probably spend a Farid Basharat's the Jamie Pickett I'll probably spend a little more time digging into tape on more than I have to this point but at the same time uh Farid Basharat should be able the same time uh Farid Basharat should be able the same time uh Farid Basharat should be able to get this done”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Farid Basharat VALUE “I'm going Farid Basharat easy money to get the win”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Da'Mon Blackshear “I have to go with the Farid Basharat side”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Farid Basharat “I've got a side with uh The Bachelorette Farid basharat I think the basharats they're the real deal”
CL Clenbat picks Farid Basharat VALUE “I will be placing Farid Basharat to defeat Da'Mon Blackshear”
WP We Want Picks picks Farid Basharat VALUE “I think he can either do it on his feet or with the wrestling I think he could win a few different ways” $1.42
1M 138 MMA picks Farid Basharat VALUE “I do think Farid Basharat's the winner here”
WP We Want Picks picks Farid Basharat “I'm gonna go Farid in this matchup”
WP We Want Picks picks Farid Basharat VALUE “ultimately Free's gonna win this fight”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Farid Basharat “I'm going to say that he wins this fight via unanimous decision” $1.19
Recent form last five, most recent first
Basharat14-0
W Matsumoto Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Gutiérrez Decision · R3 Oct '25
W Hugo Decision · R3 Oct '24
W Lapilus Decision · R3 Jan '24
W Rodrigues Submission · R1 Sep '23
Blackshear15-7-1
L Grant Decision · R3 Jul '25
W Heili Decision · R3 Apr '25
W Gibson Submission · R2 Mar '25
W Stamann Submission · R1 Nov '24
L Jackson KO/TKO · R1 Jul '24