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UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Gamrot v Turner Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus21 picks · conf 44/99
Gamrot 12
9 Turner
HMMSAC pick Gamrot
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Gamrot 26-4 VS 14-8 Turner
5'10" height 6'3"
156 lb weight 154 lb
70" reach 77"
35 age 31
Southpaw stance Southpaw
4.9 strikes landed / min 5.6
55% striking accuracy 48%
4.1 strikes absorbed / min 4.6
68% striking defence 41%
1.7 takedowns / 15 min 0.8
44% takedown accuracy 55%
89% takedown defence 74%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 1.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WB WeeklyMMA Breakdowns picks Jalin Turner VALUE “I'm going Jalin Turner but Mateusz Gamrot's Jalin Turner cannot come out so I would go with the Jalin Turner side”
DS Dynes Sports picks Mateusz Gamrot “I like Mateusz Gamrot here I think he's going to like Mateusz Gamrot here I think he's going to be able to get the wrestling going I so uh yeah I think stylistically this is Mateusz Gamrot's fight to win or lose”
WP We Want Picks picks Mateusz Gamrot “I think Fareed absolutely dominates this fight”
KU Kunath picks Jalin Turner VALUE “I like his finishing upside and his Underdog price here on DraftKings”
AM Artem MMA picks Mateusz Gamrot “gamot's wrestling skills could potentially give him the edge in the fight as he's shown in the past taking control opponents on the ground”
HB Half The Battle picks Jalin Turner “at range I think at Ranch this is as much of a mismatch as it is in the wrestling” $2.70
HB Half The Battle picks Mateusz Gamrot VALUE “I'm gonna pick Mateusz Gamrot” $1.50
TT TFB's Talks picks Jalin Turner VALUE “Jalen Turner by TKO in the in the second round first or second round”
TT TFB's Talks picks Mateusz Gamrot VALUE “Jalin Turner by TKO first or second round”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Jalin Turner VALUE “I'm gonna side with the underdog Jalin Turner”
CL Clenbat picks Mateusz Gamrot “yamrock should win this fight”
SM Scrap and Roll MMA picks Mateusz Gamrot “I'm going with Jalen too”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Gamrot26-4
W Ribovics Submission · R2 Apr '26
L Oliveira Submission · R2 Oct '25
W Klein Decision · R3 May '25
L Hooker Decision · R3 Aug '24
W Anjos Decision · R3 Mar '24
Turner14-8
W Barboza KO/TKO · R1 Dec '25
L Bahamondes Submission · R1 Mar '25
L Moicano KO/TKO · R2 Apr '24
W Green KO/TKO · R1 Dec '23
L Hooker Decision · R3 Jul '23