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UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Makhachev v Volkanovski Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus25 picks · conf 50/99
Makhachev 13
12 Volkanovski
H1CDTD pick Makhachev
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Makhachev 27-1 VS 27-4 Volkanovski
5'10" height 5'6"
170 lb weight 145 lb
70" reach 72"
34 age 37
Southpaw stance Orthodox
3.4 strikes landed / min 6.0
49% striking accuracy 51%
1.9 strikes absorbed / min 3.4
66% striking defence 57%
3.9 takedowns / 15 min 3.0
49% takedown accuracy 48%
90% takedown defence 70%
1.1 submissions / 15 min 0.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Alexander Volkanovski “makachov for the win I think that it will build the confidence of other contenders but I don't think they should get ahead of themselves too much”
FS Final Round Sports picks Islam Makhachev VALUE “I'm taking Islam Makhachev versus Alexander Volkanovski”
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Islam Makhachev VALUE “I'm just gonna outscramble Islam Makhachev too quickly and Islam Makhachev is just going to uh than Alexander Volkanovski just um strong uh Islam Makhachev marketing felt and think Islam Makhachev is probably going to walk”
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Alexander Volkanovski “None”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Islam Makhachev VALUE “I'm not picking Alexander Volkanovski side you guys know me I'm picking the other way I'm going team Dagestan Islam Makhachev”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Alexander Volkanovski “now is our plan fly to all the way to Australia and fight in Palm for pound King backyard with Alexander Volkanovski”
12 12Coffees picks Islam Makhachev “va a ganar Maker por lo mismo porque de seguro va a salir a Cerro y tirarlo al suelo” $1.25
12 12Coffees picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE “yo lo voy a bocanovski yo pienso que que van pero es súper mega clave lo que ustedes dijeron si Alexander Volkanovski logra evitar que no cacheebla agarre” $4.30
TH ThaGamingDojo picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE “I'm gonna go with the upset here”
MJ MMA JOEY picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE “vulcanovsky's gonna duck under a jab leap forward with a leaping right hook clip Islam Makhachev on the chin drop him follow him to the ground brutally ground a pound and finish him”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Islam Makhachev “Islam Makhachev Islam Makhachev by submission and if you Islam Makhachev both money line eat up the Alexander Volkanovski so give me Yair Rodríguez let's talk about Alexander Volkanovski Alexander Volkanovski”
UP UFC FIGHT PASS picks Islam Makhachev “I have a hard time betting against Islam Makhachev period but when you entice me with a near four to one favor... am I sold on Alexander Volkanovski winning no I think like on Alexander Volkanovski winning no I think like you say he's got to fight the perfect shown a kink in his armor” $1.26
Recent form last five, most recent first
Makhachev27-1
W Maddalena Decision · R5 Nov '25
W Moicano Submission · R1 Jan '25
W Poirier Submission · R5 Jun '24
W Volkanovski KO/TKO · R1 Oct '23
W Volkanovski Decision · R5 Feb '23
Volkanovski27-4
W Lopes Decision · R5 Feb '26
W Lopes Decision · R5 Apr '25
L Topuria KO/TKO · R2 Feb '24
L Makhachev KO/TKO · R1 Oct '23
W Rodríguez KO/TKO · R3 Jul '23