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UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Tafa v Porter Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus15 picks · conf 36/99
Tafa 9
6 Porter
MUCFWD pick Tafa
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Tafa 7-5 VS 14-9 Porter
6'0" height 6'0"
266 lb weight 256 lb
74" reach 75"
32 age 41
Southpaw stance Orthodox
5.4 strikes landed / min 6.5
59% striking accuracy 50%
2.3 strikes absorbed / min 6.3
55% striking defence 51%
1.9 takedowns / 15 min 1.4
43% takedown accuracy 26%
52% takedown defence 66%
1.9 submissions / 15 min 0.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Parker Porter VALUE “I'll go with Parker Porter as well”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Justin Tafa VALUE “me and loafer are all over him here he has a very good output good stamina he's going to be all over taffel with the strikes” $3.00
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Parker Porter VALUE “Parker Porter money line that's a good play me and Lil both agree on that one”
WP We Want Picks picks Parker Porter VALUE “I like Park reported to get it done”
WP We Want Picks picks Parker Porter VALUE “I think Parker Porter wins this fight I think Parker Porter when he wins will be by decision”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Justin Tafa “I'm gonna go with uh Justin tafo by knockout” $1.83
KU Kunath picks Parker Porter VALUE “give me Parker Porter here at 7 800 as one of my value plays”
SN SPORTS JEDI NETWORK picks Parker Porter VALUE “I'm going Justin Tafa toppa and I just just a tougher to me look NOT_IN_ROSTER_28 looks I think NOT_IN_ROSTER_28's like the NOT_IN_ROSTER_28 looks I I NOT_IN_ROSTER_16't know I feel like I've been more impressive than Parker Porter'”
SN SPORTS JEDI NETWORK picks Justin Tafa VALUE “I'm going Justin Tafa toppa”
CD Cappers Direct picks Justin Tafa “I do favor the Justin tafa slightly”
1C 101MMA Clinic picks Parker Porter “freaking Mark hunt Jr I'm I'm going with him um I just I think he's a better Striker than Parker Porter”
1C 101MMA Clinic picks Justin Tafa VALUE “I'm going with the porter you know like I think just he's more complete”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Tafa7-5
L Teixeira KO/TKO · R1 Feb '25
L Williams Decision · R3 Mar '24
W Lane KO/TKO · R1 Sep '23
W Porter KO/TKO · R1 Feb '23
W Hunsucker KO/TKO · R1 Dec '21
Porter14-9
L Tafa KO/TKO · R1 Aug '23
W Smith KO/TKO · R1 May '23
L Tafa KO/TKO · R1 Feb '23
L Almeida Submission · R1 May '22
W Baudot Decision · R3 Feb '22