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UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski
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IM AV Makhachev vs VolkanovskiMain Card · Lightweight YR JE Rodríguez vs EmmettMain Card · Featherweight JM RB Maddalena vs BrownMain Card · Welterweight JT PP Tafa vs PorterMain Card · Heavyweight JC AM Crute vs MenifieldMain Card · Light Heavyweight MB TP Bukauskas vs PedroPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight JC MB Culibao vs BaghdasaryanPreliminary Card · Featherweight KR SR Rodrigues vs RossPreliminary Card · Catchweight JM FP Mullarkey vs PradoPreliminary Card · Lightweight JJ DS Jenkins vs ShainisEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight LL ER Lookboonmee vs ReedEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight BB SY Bilder vs YoungEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight EB ZT Brener vs TukhugovEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Rodríguez v Emmett Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus24 picks · conf 48/99
Rodríguez 14
10 Emmett
HMGTUS pick Rodríguez
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Rodríguez 16-5 VS 19-6 Emmett
— height 5'6"
— weight 146 lb
— reach 70"
33 age 41
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.7 strikes landed / min 5.9
46% striking accuracy 58%
4.0 strikes absorbed / min 4.4
52% striking defence 49%
0.7 takedowns / 15 min 2.5
27% takedown accuracy 63%
58% takedown defence 58%
0.7 submissions / 15 min 0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Yair Rodríguez VALUE “Yair Rodríguez could totally win this fight”
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Josh Emmett VALUE “I'm picking Josh Emmett via third round knockout”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Yair Rodríguez “a lot of people were showing love for his lock of the week Yair Rodríguez on Instagram”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Josh Emmett VALUE “I'm on Josh Emmett here he's my dog of the week hopefully I'm wrong though I'd love to see loaf go eight in a row”
TH ThaGamingDojo picks Yair Rodríguez “that's my pick Yair Rodríguez”
WP We Want Picks picks Josh Emmett “I like Josh Emma to win this fight”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Josh Emmett “I'm going Josh Josh Emmett to win decision” $2.68
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Yair Rodríguez “I'll say he'll get it buy a TKO even though tohugov is not necessarily known as a big finisher” $1.20
OM One On One | MMA picks Yair Rodríguez VALUE “I'm going with Yair Rodríguez”
KU Kunath picks Yair Rodríguez “another prop that I really like this week is Yair Rodríguez going over 107 and a half significant strikes”
SH Sherdog.com picks Yair Rodríguez VALUE “yair is the favorite minus 170 plus 145 for Emmett I think that's just about rice” $1.59
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Yair Rodríguez “I got Yair Rodríguez to win I really think Yair Rodríguez deserves a title shot against Alexander Volkanovski so give me Yair Rodríguez man Yair Rodríguez money line that's what we got”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Rodríguez16-5
W Pitbull Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Ortega Submission · R3 Feb '24
L Volkanovski KO/TKO · R3 Jul '23
W Emmett Submission · R2 Feb '23
W Ortega KO/TKO · R1 Jul '22
Emmett19-6
L Vallejos KO/TKO · R1 Mar '26
L Zalal Submission · R1 Oct '25
L Murphy Decision · R5 Apr '25
W Mitchell KO/TKO · R1 Dec '23
L Topuria Decision · R5 Jun '23