Choose a fight to analyse
IM
AV
Makhachev vs VolkanovskiMain Card · Lightweight
YR
JE
Rodríguez vs EmmettMain Card · Featherweight
JM
RB
Maddalena vs BrownMain Card · Welterweight
JT
PP
Tafa vs PorterMain Card · Heavyweight
JC
AM
Crute vs MenifieldMain Card · Light Heavyweight
MB
TP
Bukauskas vs PedroPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
JC
MB
Culibao vs BaghdasaryanPreliminary Card · Featherweight
KR
SR
Rodrigues vs RossPreliminary Card · Catchweight
JM
FP
Mullarkey vs PradoPreliminary Card · Lightweight
JJ
DS
Jenkins vs ShainisEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
LL
ER
Lookboonmee vs ReedEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BB
SY
Bilder vs YoungEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
EB
ZT
Brener vs TukhugovEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
AV
Makhachev vs VolkanovskiMain Card · Lightweight
YR
JE
Rodríguez vs EmmettMain Card · Featherweight
JM
RB
Maddalena vs BrownMain Card · Welterweight
JT
PP
Tafa vs PorterMain Card · Heavyweight
JC
AM
Crute vs MenifieldMain Card · Light Heavyweight
MB
TP
Bukauskas vs PedroPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
JC
MB
Culibao vs BaghdasaryanPreliminary Card · Featherweight
KR
SR
Rodrigues vs RossPreliminary Card · Catchweight
JM
FP
Mullarkey vs PradoPreliminary Card · Lightweight
JJ
DS
Jenkins vs ShainisEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
LL
ER
Lookboonmee vs ReedEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BB
SY
Bilder vs YoungEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
EB
ZT
Brener vs TukhugovEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Bukauskas v Pedro
Light Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Bukauskas 19-7
VS
10-5 Pedro
6'3"
height
6'3"
204 lb
weight
205 lb
78"
reach
79"
32
age
34
Switch
stance
Orthodox
4.4
strikes landed / min
2.9
47%
striking accuracy
59%
2.8
strikes absorbed / min
2.4
64%
striking defence
56%
2.2
takedowns / 15 min
0.8
30%
takedown accuracy
30%
58%
takedown defence
50%
1.0
submissions / 15 min
0.8
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Modestas Bukauskas
“Modestas Bukauskas with a clean win and he said listen I'll have a better run this time out and I believe he will he lost some fights in his first UFC run this is his second second stint inside of the Octagon he'll looks much improved and he beat Tyson Pedro”
MMA EXPERTS picks Modestas Bukauskas
“Modestas Bukauskas with a clean win and he said listen I'll have a better run this time out and I believe he will he lost some fights in his first UFC run this is his second second stint inside of the Octagon he'll looks much improved and he beat Tyson Pedro”
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Tyson Pedro VALUE
“I taking uh Tyson Pedro here I think he I get scared to see on Tyson Pedro”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Tyson Pedro VALUE
“I taking uh Tyson Pedro here I think he I get scared to see on Tyson Pedro”
WP
We Want Picks picks Modestas Bukauskas VALUE
“I love lomat nine thousand dollars I see her getting the takedowns this year beating up Elise Reed Jacob thinks she's gonna get a stoppage”
We Want Picks picks Modestas Bukauskas VALUE
“I love lomat nine thousand dollars I see her getting the takedowns this year beating up Elise Reed Jacob thinks she's gonna get a stoppage”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Tyson Pedro VALUE
“I'm saying knockout win Tyson Tyson Pedro maybe a sub though that's live too but it's a second round KO”
$1.44
MMA EXPERTS picks Tyson Pedro VALUE
“I'm saying knockout win Tyson Tyson Pedro maybe a sub though that's live too but it's a second round KO”
$1.44
SN
SPORTS JEDI NETWORK picks Tyson Pedro VALUE
“Tyson Pedro paid you know this is the main event the prelims pricing”
SPORTS JEDI NETWORK picks Tyson Pedro VALUE
“Tyson Pedro paid you know this is the main event the prelims pricing”
HB
Half The Battle picks Tyson Pedro VALUE
“I'm gonna go with Tyson Pedro to uh possibly get it done early”
$1.42
Half The Battle picks Tyson Pedro VALUE
“I'm gonna go with Tyson Pedro to uh possibly get it done early”
$1.42
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Tyson Pedro VALUE
“I'm gonna be more so on the Tyson Pedro side I think if he does win there's a good chance it's in the first round”
$90.00
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Tyson Pedro VALUE
“I'm gonna be more so on the Tyson Pedro side I think if he does win there's a good chance it's in the first round”
$90.00
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Modestas Bukauskas
“I'm not extremely high on Modestas Bukauskas because I think a Modestas Bukauskas does pull off the upset here I think it's going to be like a decision to win with not much going on”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Modestas Bukauskas
“I'm not extremely high on Modestas Bukauskas because I think a Modestas Bukauskas does pull off the upset here I think it's going to be like a decision to win with not much going on”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Tyson Pedro VALUE
“I'm gonna side with who I believe is going to be technically sharper in this matchup and that's going to be Tyson Pedro”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Tyson Pedro VALUE
“I'm gonna side with who I believe is going to be technically sharper in this matchup and that's going to be Tyson Pedro”
DR
Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Tyson Pedro
“he's Tyson Pedro finished him in the first round”
Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Tyson Pedro
“he's Tyson Pedro finished him in the first round”
WB
WeeklyMMA Breakdowns picks Tyson Pedro VALUE
“Tyson Pedro but this is a weird one too but I think it's the last minute or two so I would I'd be safe on the NOT_IN_ROSTER_3 sign”
WeeklyMMA Breakdowns picks Tyson Pedro VALUE
“Tyson Pedro but this is a weird one too but I think it's the last minute or two so I would I'd be safe on the NOT_IN_ROSTER_3 sign”
CL
Clenbat picks Tyson Pedro
“I gotta go with Pedro because again the momentum like I said he's looked really good in his most recent wins I'm gonna go with him but this is definitely definitely not a fight to bet on”
Clenbat picks Tyson Pedro
“I gotta go with Pedro because again the momentum like I said he's looked really good in his most recent wins I'm gonna go with him but this is definitely definitely not a fight to bet on”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Bukauskas19-7
W
Edwards
May '26
L
Krylov
Jan '26
W
Craig
Sep '25
W
Cuțelaba
May '25
W
Cerqueira
Feb '25
Pedro10-5
L
Petrino
Mar '24
W
Turkalj
Sep '23
L
Bukauskas
Feb '23
W
Hunsucker
Aug '22
W
Villanueva
Apr '22