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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Mullarkey v Prado Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus12 picks · conf 32/99
Mullarkey 6
6 Prado
MUDWFR pick Mullarkey
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Mullarkey 18-8 VS 12-4 Prado
6'0" height 5'10"
156 lb weight 170 lb
74" reach 69"
31 age 24
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.4 strikes landed / min 4.6
46% striking accuracy 41%
4.5 strikes absorbed / min 5.7
53% striking defence 52%
2.3 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
34% takedown accuracy 0%
78% takedown defence 25%
0.1 submissions / 15 min 0.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Jamie Mullarkey “clean win for Jamie Mullarkey against a kid who's only 20. so the future is still bright for a Francisco Prado if he really digs down and sticks with it and improves upon some holes in the game”
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Francisco Prado “None”
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Jamie Mullarkey “None”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Jamie Mullarkey “I'm picking Francisco Prado I do think he can knock out Jamie Mullarkey”
KU Kunath picks Francisco Prado VALUE “I like Francisco Prado to win”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jamie Mullarkey VALUE “I'm gonna be heavier on Malarkey here but Francisco Prado has that first round upside I think he breaks uh Francisco Francisco Prado as this fight goes on” $88.00
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Francisco Prado VALUE “I think Francisco Prado has the first round upside in this matchup the guy's 11-0 all 11 of those wins coming by finish” $76.00
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Jamie Mullarkey VALUE “I'm gonna side with Jamie Mullarkey because there's more to know about Jamie than there is the newcomer”
WP We Want Picks picks Jamie Mullarkey “I'm picking Jamie Mullarkey but as Angel mentioned I I don't love it” $1.38
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Jamie Mullarkey “I was picking Jamie you were against me”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Jamie Mullarkey “I'm gonna side with Malarkey”
AM Artem MMA picks Jamie Mullarkey “I'm going with Jamie Mullarkey I'm going with him by late finish or decision”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Mullarkey18-8
L Salkilld Submission · R1 Feb '26
W Bedoya Decision · R3 Sep '25
L Ruffy KO/TKO · R1 May '24
L Haqparast KO/TKO · R1 Dec '23
W Makdessi Decision · R3 Sep '23
Prado12-4
L Radtke Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Veretennikov Decision · R3 Jul '25
L Matthews Decision · R3 Feb '25
L Zellhuber Decision · R3 Feb '24
W Azaitar KO/TKO · R1 Jul '23