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Caceres vs ErosaMain Card · Featherweight
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McKenna vs VlismasPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Semelsberger vs MatthewsPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Cannonier v Strickland
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Cannonier 17-8
VS
30-7 Strickland
5'11"
height
6'1"
186 lb
weight
185 lb
78"
reach
76"
42
age
35
Switch
stance
Orthodox
4.5
strikes landed / min
5.8
50%
striking accuracy
47%
4.4
strikes absorbed / min
4.1
56%
striking defence
58%
0.4
takedowns / 15 min
1.9
46%
takedown accuracy
40%
62%
takedown defence
78%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Sean Strickland VALUE
The MMA-Holes picks Sean Strickland VALUE
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Sean Strickland
“I'll just go with Sean Strickland”
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Sean Strickland
“I'll just go with Sean Strickland”
CM
Cyclone MMA picks Jared Cannonier
“I am picking him to win this fight... I'm picking Jared Cannonier to get the W over Sean Strickland”
Cyclone MMA picks Jared Cannonier
“I am picking him to win this fight... I'm picking Jared Cannonier to get the W over Sean Strickland”
KU
Kunath picks Sean Strickland
“I'm going with Sergey Morozov Manel cop I like Bryan Battle I like Hayisaer Maheshate Saidyokub Kakhramonov and the line has swung he's now the favorite Jake Matthews I like Cheyenne felizmus mihao Alexa Chuck Bobby Green at plus money Julian Erosa minus 170 Amir al-bazi easiest play of the card I like Arman Tsarukyan and just slightly and then Sean Strickland”
$1.91
Kunath picks Sean Strickland
“I'm going with Sergey Morozov Manel cop I like Bryan Battle I like Hayisaer Maheshate Saidyokub Kakhramonov and the line has swung he's now the favorite Jake Matthews I like Cheyenne felizmus mihao Alexa Chuck Bobby Green at plus money Julian Erosa minus 170 Amir al-bazi easiest play of the card I like Arman Tsarukyan and just slightly and then Sean Strickland”
$1.91
WP
We Want Picks picks Jared Cannonier
“I think Jared Cannonier probably wins”
We Want Picks picks Jared Cannonier
“I think Jared Cannonier probably wins”
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Sean Strickland VALUE
“that's why I got NOT_IN_ROSTER_8 money line if you want to single bed it go crazy because it's some good eyes right now”
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Sean Strickland VALUE
“that's why I got NOT_IN_ROSTER_8 money line if you want to single bed it go crazy because it's some good eyes right now”
CD
Cappers Direct picks Jared Cannonier
“I may like my mind or Jared Cannonier's Gonna Knock Sean Strickland out”
Cappers Direct picks Jared Cannonier
“I may like my mind or Jared Cannonier's Gonna Knock Sean Strickland out”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Sean Strickland
“we have Sean Strickland going against Jared Cannonier here”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Sean Strickland
“we have Sean Strickland going against Jared Cannonier here”
SH
Sherdog.com picks Jared Cannonier VALUE
“I'm picking Jared Cannonier to beat Sean Strickland”
$1.91
Sherdog.com picks Jared Cannonier VALUE
“I'm picking Jared Cannonier to beat Sean Strickland”
$1.91
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Sean Strickland VALUE
“I see this fight going one of two ways either Sean stricken goes out there puts up a lot of volume across five rounds and wins a decision or Jared Cannonier is able to land a big shot”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Sean Strickland VALUE
“I see this fight going one of two ways either Sean stricken goes out there puts up a lot of volume across five rounds and wins a decision or Jared Cannonier is able to land a big shot”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jared Cannonier VALUE
“I do find myself more so on the cannon near side just because um he is going to be much cheaper and he does have that knockout upside”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jared Cannonier VALUE
“I do find myself more so on the cannon near side just because um he is going to be much cheaper and he does have that knockout upside”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Jared Cannonier
“I'm gonna side with Jared Jared Cannonierier here”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Jared Cannonier
“I'm gonna side with Jared Jared Cannonierier here”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Cannonier17-8
L
Page
Aug '25
W
Rodrigues
Feb '25
L
Borralho
Aug '24
L
Imavov
Jun '24
W
Vettori
Jun '23
Strickland30-7
W
Chimaev
May '26
W
Hernandez
Feb '26
L
Plessis
Feb '25
W
Costa
Jun '24
L
Plessis
Jan '24