MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland
Choose a fight to analyse
JC SS Cannonier vs StricklandMain Card · Middleweight AT DI Tsarukyan vs IsmagulovMain Card · Lightweight AA AC Albazi vs CostaMain Card · Flyweight AC JE Caceres vs ErosaMain Card · Featherweight DD BG Dober vs GreenMain Card · Lightweight MO CB Oleksiejczuk vs BrundageMain Card · Middleweight CM CV McKenna vs VlismasPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight MS JM Semelsberger vs MatthewsPreliminary Card · Welterweight SN SK Nurmagomedov vs KakhramonovPreliminary Card · Bantamweight RG HM García vs MaheshatePreliminary Card · Catchweight RF BB Fakhretdinov vs BattlePreliminary Card · Welterweight MK DD Kape vs DvořákPreliminary Card · Flyweight SM JN Morozov vs NewsonPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Caceres v Erosa Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Consensus10 picks · conf 30/99
Caceres 3
7 Erosa
DWC pick Caceres
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Caceres 21-15 VS 0-0 Erosa
5'10" height 6'1"
145 lb weight 145 lb
74" reach 74"
38 age 36
Southpaw stance Southpaw
4.2 strikes landed / min 6.2
49% striking accuracy 48%
3.1 strikes absorbed / min 6.3
62% striking defence 48%
0.5 takedowns / 15 min 1.7
68% takedown accuracy 48%
64% takedown defence 58%
0.7 submissions / 15 min 0.8
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
KU Kunath picks Julian Erosa “I think that Julian Erosa beats him and I think he beats him cleanly” $1.59
WP We Want Picks picks Julian Erosa VALUE “I like Julian Erosa Rosa”
CD Cappers Direct picks Alex Caceres “have Alex Caceres versus have Alex Caceres coming in here”
SH Sherdog.com picks Julian Erosa VALUE “I'm going for Rosa to win this one at minus 160” $1.62
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Alex Caceres “a rose is going to put it on to Alex Caceres finish him late and put up a pretty big score here and then Julian Erosa 8700 talked about the matchup a little bit”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Julian Erosa “I'm gonna side with Julian Erosa Erosa”
1M 138 MMA picks Julian Erosa “I'm going to pick Julian Erosa”
TF The ICE Files picks Julian Erosa “I'm gonna go with Julian Erosa”
TG THE MMA GURU picks Julian Erosa VALUE “I'll go Juliana Rosa”
WP We Want Picks picks Julian Erosa VALUE “I do think Julian Erosa will win this fight”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Alex Caceres VALUE “give me Juicy J to win”
WP We Want Picks picks Julian Erosa VALUE “I'm gonna go ahead and pick Julian Erosa here”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Caceres21-15
L Woodson Decision · R3 May '24
L Chikadze Decision · R3 Aug '23
W Pineda Decision · R3 Jun '23
W Erosa KO/TKO · R1 Dec '22
L Yusuff Decision · R3 Mar '22
Erosa0-0
L Douglas KO/TKO · R1 Mar '26
L Costa Decision · R3 May '25
W Elkins KO/TKO · R1 Apr '25
W Rodriguez Submission · R1 Jul '24
W Ramos Submission · R1 Mar '24