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Tsarukyan vs IsmagulovMain Card · Lightweight
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Albazi vs CostaMain Card · Flyweight
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Caceres vs ErosaMain Card · Featherweight
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Dober vs GreenMain Card · Lightweight
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Oleksiejczuk vs BrundageMain Card · Middleweight
CM
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McKenna vs VlismasPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Semelsberger vs MatthewsPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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García vs MaheshatePreliminary Card · Catchweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Caceres v Erosa
Featherweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Caceres 21-15
VS
0-0 Erosa
5'10"
height
6'1"
145 lb
weight
145 lb
74"
reach
74"
38
age
36
Southpaw
stance
Southpaw
4.2
strikes landed / min
6.2
49%
striking accuracy
48%
3.1
strikes absorbed / min
6.3
62%
striking defence
48%
0.5
takedowns / 15 min
1.7
68%
takedown accuracy
48%
64%
takedown defence
58%
0.7
submissions / 15 min
0.8
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
KU
Kunath picks Julian Erosa
“I think that Julian Erosa beats him and I think he beats him cleanly”
$1.59
WP
We Want Picks picks Julian Erosa VALUE
“I like Julian Erosa Rosa”
CD
Cappers Direct picks Alex Caceres
“have Alex Caceres versus have Alex Caceres coming in here”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Alex Caceres
“a rose is going to put it on to Alex Caceres finish him late and put up a pretty big score here and then Julian Erosa 8700 talked about the matchup a little bit”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Julian Erosa
“I'm gonna side with Julian Erosa Erosa”
1M
138 MMA picks Julian Erosa
“I'm going to pick Julian Erosa”
TF
The ICE Files picks Julian Erosa
“I'm gonna go with Julian Erosa”
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Julian Erosa VALUE
“I'll go Juliana Rosa”
WP
We Want Picks picks Julian Erosa VALUE
“I do think Julian Erosa will win this fight”
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Alex Caceres VALUE
“give me Juicy J to win”
WP
We Want Picks picks Julian Erosa VALUE
“I'm gonna go ahead and pick Julian Erosa here”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Caceres21-15
L
Woodson
May '24
L
Chikadze
Aug '23
W
Pineda
Jun '23
W
Erosa
Dec '22
L
Yusuff
Mar '22
Erosa0-0
L
Douglas
Mar '26
L
Costa
May '25
W
Elkins
Apr '25
W
Rodriguez
Jul '24
W
Ramos
Mar '24