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Kape vs DvořákPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Cannonier vs StricklandMain Card · Middleweight
AT
DI
Tsarukyan vs IsmagulovMain Card · Lightweight
AA
AC
Albazi vs CostaMain Card · Flyweight
AC
JE
Caceres vs ErosaMain Card · Featherweight
DD
BG
Dober vs GreenMain Card · Lightweight
MO
Oleksiejczuk vs BrundageMain Card · Middleweight
CM
CV
McKenna vs VlismasPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
MS
JM
Semelsberger vs MatthewsPreliminary Card · Welterweight
SN
SK
Nurmagomedov vs KakhramonovPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
RG
HM
García vs MaheshatePreliminary Card · Catchweight
RF
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Fakhretdinov vs BattlePreliminary Card · Welterweight
MK
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Kape vs DvořákPreliminary Card · Flyweight
SM
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Morozov vs NewsonPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Kape v Dvořák
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Kape 22-7
VS
20-6 Dvořák
5'5"
height
—
126 lb
weight
—
68"
reach
—
32
age
34
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
4.4
strikes landed / min
3.5
53%
striking accuracy
43%
4.1
strikes absorbed / min
3.3
59%
striking defence
59%
0.5
takedowns / 15 min
0.6
33%
takedown accuracy
30%
73%
takedown defence
70%
0.4
submissions / 15 min
0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks David Dvořák VALUE
“David Dvořák dog of the week for the UFC forecast we begin in the Bantam wake”
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Manel Kape
“I think dvorak's gonna get this done I got Dvorak too man I mean his record speaks for itself”
WP
We Want Picks picks David Dvořák VALUE
“I think David Dvořák Dvořák could stay ahead of the cards and not let that one punch land to come back”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks David Dvořák
“we have Manel Kape going against David Dvořák”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Manel Kape
“I'll be playing Manel Kape if anything but not a fight I'm overly excited about”
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks David Dvořák VALUE
“I'm going with David Devore to get that one done the underdog”
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Manel Kape VALUE
“I'm going to be going with manil cap here over David Dvořák”
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Manel Kape VALUE
“I'm taking Manel Kape here”
WP
We Want Picks picks David Dvořák VALUE
“Dvorak is the pick”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Kape22-7
W
Horiguchi
Jun '26
W
Royval
Dec '25
W
Almabayev
Mar '25
W
Silva
Dec '24
L
Mokaev
Jul '24
Dvořák20-6
L
Erceg
Jun '23
L
Kape
Dec '22
L
Nicolau
Mar '22
W
Ronderos
May '21
W
Espinosa
Sep '20