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UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Tsarukyan v Ismagulov Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus6 picks · conf 18/99
Tsarukyan 5
1 Ismagulov
MTKWW pick Tsarukyan
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Tsarukyan 22-3 VS 24-3 Ismagulov
5'7" height 5'10"
156 lb weight 156 lb
72" reach 74"
29 age 35
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.8 strikes landed / min 3.4
48% striking accuracy 42%
1.8 strikes absorbed / min 2.4
53% striking defence 61%
3.2 takedowns / 15 min 1.0
37% takedown accuracy 28%
75% takedown defence 70%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
KU Kunath picks Arman Tsarukyan VALUE “I still like Arman Tsarukyan but you can't sleep on damira's magool off the guy knows how to win and then you can look at Matthew Semelsberger who I think think is at a disadvantage”
CD Cappers Direct picks Damir Ismagulov “Damir Ismagulov is a bet here is our Damir Ismagulov gonna win”
MJ MMA JOEY picks Arman Tsarukyan “for my official prediction I am going Arman Tsarukyan via decision”
TG THE MMA GURU picks Arman Tsarukyan VALUE “I'm gonna go if I'm in saruki in here over Damir Ismagulov”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Arman Tsarukyan VALUE “I'll take the technician of Drew Dober over Bobby Green”
WP We Want Picks picks Arman Tsarukyan VALUE “Arman Tsarukyan is the pick”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Tsarukyan22-3
W Hooker Submission · R2 Nov '25
W Oliveira Decision · R3 Apr '24
W Dariush KO/TKO · R1 Dec '23
W Silva KO/TKO · R3 Jun '23
W Ismagulov Decision · R3 Dec '22
Ismagulov24-3
L Dawson Decision · R3 Jul '23
L Tsarukyan Decision · R3 Dec '22
W Kutateladze Decision · R3 Jun '22
W Alves Decision · R3 May '21
W Moisés Decision · R3 Aug '19