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UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cuțelaba
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Nzechukwu v Cuțelaba Light Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus5 picks · conf 15/99
Nzechukwu 4
1 Cuțelaba
HDFW pick Nzechukwu
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Nzechukwu 13-5 VS 18-10-1 Cuțelaba
6'5" height
238 lb weight
83" reach
34 age 32
Southpaw stance Southpaw
5.3 strikes landed / min 4.3
47% striking accuracy 43%
4.8 strikes absorbed / min 3.3
51% striking defence 46%
0.6 takedowns / 15 min 4.0
45% takedown accuracy 52%
80% takedown defence 75%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WP We Want Picks picks Kennedy Nzechukwu “I'm picking Kennedy Nzechukwu he should win because kutilaba has been you know acting like an idiot”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Ion Cuțelaba VALUE “I gotta go Ion Cuțelaba to win by knockout” $2.45
WP We Want Picks picks Ion Cuțelaba VALUE “I think Kennedy chukwu is worth the 8 800 my frustration with him in the past is he can be low volume he can sit and wait and then eventually land the big one that's what happened with Carlos uberg that's what happened with Marquez he was losing these fights and then came back to win it with the big power strike the Roberson fight we watched him work in some takedowns he seemed to be a new fighter he lost two in a row and he's like I need to change things and he did change things he came forward got the takedown's the eventual stoppage 800 is probably solid because Yan kutulaba is either gonna is either Gonna Take You Down and win by submission or get knocked the hell out that's it that's what's gonna happen and I think he gets knocked out Kennedy worries me because of his low volume but I do I believe in him after his last fight I think he's gonna let his hands go we absolutely know he has the power we know he's the better Striker”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Kennedy Nzechukwu VALUE “I'm going kutilaba grounded pound man” $2.55
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Ion Cuțelaba “I'm going sir gave speed back” $1.50
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Ion Cuțelaba VALUE “I personally do like kudalaba more you're getting a big savings here um and he has that first one upside and he has to take them upside”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Kennedy Nzechukwu VALUE “don't mind some Kennedy Nzechukwu for that late finish upside”
HB Half The Battle picks Kennedy Nzechukwu “I do have to go with Kennedy Nzechukwu and zetricu you know to get it done down the stretch whether it's you know finding a knee finding a straight punch” $1.59
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Kennedy Nzechukwu VALUE “I gotta go of candy I think on this one and he also knocked out Carlos alberg yeah has not been doing well lately either so yeah his only three losses for da un Jung Paul Craig by submission so those aren't bad losses to have and you know I feel like he's just going to improve at 30 years old but kulab is 28 don't count him out he's aggressive hard hands too I can't wait for the face off too man Ion Cuțelaba comes out hot yeah this is gonna be a sketchy one for sure to bet on yeah I'm probably gonna lean towards Kennedy Nzechukwu yeah done with that huge reach” $2.53
WP We Want Picks picks Kennedy Nzechukwu “this should be a straight up Kennedy Nzechukwu play a hundred percent all the way”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Ion Cuțelaba VALUE “I'm picking Ion Cuțelaba to get himself to win and snap this damn losing streak” $2.45
Recent form last five, most recent first
Nzechukwu13-5
L Walker Submission · R1 Jul '25
W Brzeski KO/TKO · R1 Dec '24
W Barnett KO/TKO · R1 Oct '24
L Preux Decision · R3 Mar '24
L Jacoby KO/TKO · R1 Aug '23
Cuțelaba18-10-1
L Stirling KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
W Sy Submission · R1 Mar '26
L Bukauskas Decision · R3 May '25
W Aslan Submission · R1 Feb '25
W Erslan Decision · R3 Sep '24