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Maia vs MorozPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Maddalena vs RobertsMain Card · Welterweight
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Maia vs MorozPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Johns vs MoralesPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Turcios vs NatividadPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Maia v Moroz
Women'S Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Maia 21-10-1
VS
11-6 Moroz
—
height
5'7"
—
weight
125 lb
—
reach
67"
37
age
34
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.3
strikes landed / min
4.4
38%
striking accuracy
33%
4.5
strikes absorbed / min
4.9
55%
striking defence
51%
0.4
takedowns / 15 min
0.7
27%
takedown accuracy
24%
58%
takedown defence
42%
0.1
submissions / 15 min
0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Jennifer Maia VALUE
“I'd say I'd ever be able to pull this one off with some control time takedowns”
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Jennifer Maia VALUE
“I'd say I'd ever be able to pull this one off with some control time takedowns”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Maryna Moroz
“I'm taking morose to win it... I'm gonna lean it by a decision”
$1.53
MMA EXPERTS picks Maryna Moroz
“I'm taking morose to win it... I'm gonna lean it by a decision”
$1.53
WP
We Want Picks picks Maryna Moroz
“I do think Maryna Moroz wins this fight I think she gets the takedowns which is a new wrinkle to her game I think she can win the Striking exchanges but frankly I'm not spending nine thousand she is not worth nine thousand dollars not against a tried and true veteran like Jennifer Maia and frankly depending what your budget looks like Jennifer Maia is the better play She's the smarter play of the two because Maryna Moroz is not a finisher Jennifer Maya is live in this fight because of her experience because of her abilities and what she can get done here so I like Marina Rose to win”
We Want Picks picks Maryna Moroz
“I do think Maryna Moroz wins this fight I think she gets the takedowns which is a new wrinkle to her game I think she can win the Striking exchanges but frankly I'm not spending nine thousand she is not worth nine thousand dollars not against a tried and true veteran like Jennifer Maia and frankly depending what your budget looks like Jennifer Maia is the better play She's the smarter play of the two because Maryna Moroz is not a finisher Jennifer Maya is live in this fight because of her experience because of her abilities and what she can get done here so I like Marina Rose to win”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Jennifer Maia VALUE
“I'm gonna side with the underdog Jennifer Maia”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Jennifer Maia VALUE
“I'm gonna side with the underdog Jennifer Maia”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Maryna Moroz
“morose I'm gonna pick her to win the fight but 9 000 there's just so many better options out there”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Maryna Moroz
“morose I'm gonna pick her to win the fight but 9 000 there's just so many better options out there”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jennifer Maia
“Jennifer Jennifer Maia Jennifer Maia if Jennifer Jennifer Maia Jennifer Maia was to Grapple at 7200 um she she'd look like a steal here the problem with Jennifer Jennifer Maia Jennifer Maia is she does not wrestle but if she comes in here and does it then she does it and she probably wins the fight easily”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jennifer Maia
“Jennifer Jennifer Maia Jennifer Maia if Jennifer Jennifer Maia Jennifer Maia was to Grapple at 7200 um she she'd look like a steal here the problem with Jennifer Jennifer Maia Jennifer Maia is she does not wrestle but if she comes in here and does it then she does it and she probably wins the fight easily”
WP
We Want Picks picks Maryna Moroz VALUE
“I like Maryna Moroz to win this fight”
We Want Picks picks Maryna Moroz VALUE
“I like Maryna Moroz to win this fight”
WP
We Want Picks picks Jennifer Maia VALUE
“my pick is Jennifer Maia”
We Want Picks picks Jennifer Maia VALUE
“my pick is Jennifer Maia”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Maryna Moroz
“I'm going with the side of momentum I think the marina Maryna Moroz can win”
$1.53
MMA EXPERTS picks Maryna Moroz
“I'm going with the side of momentum I think the marina Maryna Moroz can win”
$1.53
HB
Half The Battle picks Jennifer Maia
“I guess this is considered a step up in the rankings but I got to keep it 100 with you man I've never been sold on Jennifer Maia”
$2.60
Half The Battle picks Jennifer Maia
“I guess this is considered a step up in the rankings but I got to keep it 100 with you man I've never been sold on Jennifer Maia”
$2.60
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Maia21-10-1
L
Araújo
Oct '23
W
O'Neill
Mar '23
W
Moroz
Nov '22
L
Fiorot
Mar '22
L
Chookagian
Jan '22
Moroz11-6
L
Wood
Mar '24
L
Silva
Aug '23
L
Maia
Nov '22
W
Agapova
Mar '22
W
Silva
Mar '20