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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Cortes-Acosta v Sherman
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus7 picks · conf 21/99
H
pick Cortes-Acosta
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Cortes-Acosta 17-2
VS
16-12 Sherman
6'4"
height
6'4"
262 lb
weight
254 lb
78"
reach
78"
34
age
36
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.9
strikes landed / min
6.0
65%
striking accuracy
45%
2.2
strikes absorbed / min
6.7
52%
striking defence
52%
2.3
takedowns / 15 min
0.1
69%
takedown accuracy
50%
63%
takedown defence
74%
0.5
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Waldo Cortes-Acosta VALUE
“I think Waldo Cortes-Acosta can find the chin in this matchup and I think he will end up stopping Shea Sherman”
$1.43
WP
We Want Picks picks Chase Sherman VALUE
“I think Chase could actually pull this out and if you want to throw them in there at 7 100 to free up some space go for it because at the very least I think he survives and he should put up some numbers let's go to the Parker fight he put up 48 in that loss frankly this fight could look very much like this survive land a ton of strikes and at 7 100 to free up some of the more expensive Fighters you may want to go that route”
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Chase Sherman VALUE
“I'm gonna go with the guy man who's climbing up the rankings bro we both seen how you fight yeah I'm saying we've seen him fight before yeah he throws some big shots some big heavy shots I I think I'm gonna go with NOT_IN_ROSTER_8 NOT_IN_ROSTER_9 man minus 220.”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Chase Sherman
“my prediction's gonna be that Sergey Spivak has more ways to win this match up and that's why I'm gonna side with Serge I Spivak to win this Main Event”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Waldo Cortes-Acosta
“I guess I'll go with uh around one stoppage for Cortez Acosta in this matchup”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Waldo Cortes-Acosta
“I don't think Waldo Cortes-Acosta Cortes-Waldo Cortes-Acosta Cortes-Acosta good at all um and then on top of that Waldo Cortes-Acosta Cortes-Waldo Cortes-Acosta Cortes-Acosta coming in on Shore notice having just fought having caking some damage”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Chase Sherman VALUE
“give me Chase Sherman Sherman 7100 I think he has very live to win this fight”
HB
Half The Battle picks Waldo Cortes-Acosta
“I'm gonna have to lean Waldo Cortes-Acosta but at minus 220 I'm not gonna be able to to take this guy”
$1.45
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Chase Sherman VALUE
“I'm probably just gonna go for Chase Sherman and say he might be able to find it he has a lot 15 Knockouts 15 knockers that's a lot of Knockouts and uh you know Waldo Cortes-Acosta he did get like kicked quite a few times I thought he was a good deer in there it's probably still gonna be limping and I let you dance decision actually people were honestly kind of like thinking who was going to win yeah I was very scared man that was not a good lock of the week for me I gotta go chase him and find maybe the chin here I don't know maybe it would be a decision maybe a knockout for t-shirt but I don't know though yeah but that's what I'm looking towards t-shirt yeah I'm with you I'm with you yeah bear former bear Knuckles Champion 15 Knockouts Chase Sherman probably gonna get The Knockout here against the new cumber Waldo Cortes-Acosta Cortes-Acosta didn't look too great last fight”
WP
We Want Picks picks Waldo Cortes-Acosta
“my pick is Waldo Cortes-Acosta one to ten I'm gonna put about three maybe a four”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Waldo Cortes-Acosta
“I think Waldo Cortes-Acosta Cortes-Waldo Cortes-Acosta Cortes-Acosta will knock Chase Sherman Chase Sherman Sherman unconscious”
$1.54
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Cortes-Acosta17-2
L
Volkov
May '26
W
Lewis
Jan '26
W
Gaziev
Nov '25
W
Delija
Nov '25
L
Pavlovich
Aug '25
Sherman16-12
L
Williams
May '23
L
Cortes-Acosta
Nov '22
W
Vanderaa
Jul '22
L
Romanov
Apr '22
L
Collier
Jan '22