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UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cuțelaba
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KN IC Nzechukwu vs CuțelabaMain Card · Light Heavyweight WC CS Cortes-Acosta vs ShermanMain Card · Heavyweight MS AF Salikhov vs FialhoMain Card · Welterweight JM DR Maddalena vs RobertsMain Card · Welterweight CJ ZZ Johnson vs ZhumagulovMain Card · Flyweight JM MM Maia vs MorozPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight MJ VM Johns vs MoralesPreliminary Card · Bantamweight RT KN Turcios vs NatividadPreliminary Card · Bantamweight VD MO Demopoulos vs OliveiraPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight BH FG Hiestand vs GarciaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight NS TB Silva vs BledáPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Turcios v Natividad Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus7 picks · conf 21/99
Turcios 7
0 Natividad
HTMUAD pick Turcios
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Turcios 13-5 VS 9-4 Natividad
5'9" height 5'6"
136 lb weight 135 lb
71" reach 70"
33 age 33
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.6 strikes landed / min 2.7
37% striking accuracy 34%
3.3 strikes absorbed / min 4.3
55% striking defence 47%
0.9 takedowns / 15 min 3.7
25% takedown accuracy 50%
45% takedown defence 83%
0.5 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WP We Want Picks picks Ricky Turcios VALUE “I like Pretty Ricky Turcios”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Ricky Turcios “I'm riding with Ricky Turcios Turcios... I think Ricky Turcios wins on the cards” $1.65
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Ricky Turcios “I'm going to tercio's decision” $1.65
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Ricky Turcios “for me guys despite Ricky turcio's really having a frustrating performance I would still have to side with Ricky Turcios to win this match up”
WP We Want Picks picks Ricky Turcios VALUE “I actually love Ricky Turcios in this matchup”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Ricky Turcios “I'll pick tursios to get this one done” $1.65
HB Half The Battle picks Kevin Natividad “my issue with Kevin Natividad natividad the guy's a bit chinny” $2.35
HB Half The Battle picks Ricky Turcios “they got it Ricky Turcios turcios minus 155” $1.65
TG THE MMA GURU picks Ricky Turcios “I'm gonna go over Ricky Turcios Ricky Turcios Turcios only because it's Kevin Natividad native adadah”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Ricky Turcios “I'll take teresios”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Ricky Turcios “I think he gets it done here I think he can win a unanimous decision” $1.67
WP We Want Picks picks Ricky Turcios VALUE “I'm still gonna pick Ricky because I'm hoping his last fight was the anomaly and he brings that high pressure fight to the table”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Turcios13-5
L Montes Submission · R2 Mar '26
L Sopaj Decision · R3 Jan '25
L Rosas Jr. Submission · R2 Jun '24
W Natividad Decision · R3 Nov '22
L Zahabi Decision · R3 Jul '22
Natividad9-4
L Turcios Decision · R3 Nov '22
L Batgerel KO/TKO · R1 Apr '21
L Johns KO/TKO · R3 Oct '20