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Johns vs MoralesPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Cortes-Acosta vs ShermanMain Card · Heavyweight
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Salikhov vs FialhoMain Card · Welterweight
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Maddalena vs RobertsMain Card · Welterweight
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Johnson vs ZhumagulovMain Card · Flyweight
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Maia vs MorozPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Johns vs MoralesPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Turcios vs NatividadPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Demopoulos vs OliveiraPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Hiestand vs GarciaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Johns v Morales
Bantamweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Johns 15-2
VS
16-10 Morales
5'7"
height
5'7"
136 lb
weight
136 lb
68"
reach
70"
32
age
35
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.3
strikes landed / min
4.0
47%
striking accuracy
36%
2.5
strikes absorbed / min
4.5
69%
striking defence
53%
1.0
takedowns / 15 min
0.4
20%
takedown accuracy
30%
85%
takedown defence
65%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Miles Johns
“I'll go Charles on this one she has lots of UFC experience”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Miles Johns VALUE
“I'm going with a man nuclear weapons is where I'm going to”
$4.10
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Miles Johns
“I'd have to side with Miles Johns I just think he's got a higher ceiling in the UFC and he probably takes care of Vince Morales in this matchup”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Miles Johns VALUE
“give me Miles Miles Johns Miles Johns here 8400 I think he has multiple pass to score decent here”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Vince Morales
“Vince Morales Vince Morales Morales only like a 46 takedown defense”
WP
We Want Picks picks Miles Johns
“my pick is Vince”
HB
Half The Battle picks Vince Morales
“the thing with with uh Vince Morales generally speaking pretty harmless not the most imposing guy but occasionally he'll surprise you with that right hand”
$2.40
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Miles Johns VALUE
“I'm gonna go with Miles Johns this is actually a six Knockouts and two submissions so he has eight finishes at 11. he has a lot of finishes too he doesn't like to go to the decision but to stay on the feet to stay on the feet yeah to stay on the feet with Miles John's probably not a good idea”
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Miles Johns
“I'm gonna go with Miles Miles Johns Miles Johns”
WP
We Want Picks picks Vince Morales VALUE
“I think the safer play in this matchup especially the value is in Vince Morales he's going to be my pick for this”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Johns15-2
L
Marcos
Nov '25
L
Matsumoto
Aug '25
L
Lima
Dec '24
W
Andrade
Jun '24
W
Gibson
Mar '24
Morales16-10
L
Thicknesse
May '26
L
Rosas Jr.
Mar '25
L
Smith
Feb '25
L
Lapilus
Sep '24
L
Johns
Nov '22