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Lemos vs RodriguezMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Prophecy read
Lemos v Rodriguez
Women'S Strawweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus9 picks · conf 27/99
W
pick Lemos
pick Lemos
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Lemos 15-5-1
VS
17-5-2 Rodriguez
5'4"
height
5'4"
115 lb
weight
125 lb
65"
reach
64"
39
age
39
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
3.3
strikes landed / min
4.6
35%
striking accuracy
46%
2.7
strikes absorbed / min
3.0
61%
striking defence
55%
0.6
takedowns / 15 min
0.3
38%
takedown accuracy
50%
59%
takedown defence
62%
0.1
submissions / 15 min
0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Marina Rodriguez
“I'm gonna side with Marina Rodriguez to win this Main Event”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Marina Rodriguez
“I'm gonna side with Marina Rodriguez to win this Main Event”
WP
We Want Picks picks Amanda Lemos VALUE
“I'm big on shylon”
We Want Picks picks Amanda Lemos VALUE
“I'm big on shylon”
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Marina Rodriguez
“I'd say it's either gonna be Marina Rodriguez decision or Amanda Lemos for the Finish yeah she's definitely live for the Finish round one or two and if it's a five rounder [__] hopefully she can get three or four or five and get get the win I see Amanda Lemos for the decision I see I know I see if it's five Rand I see only man 11 was taking her out before five oh I [__] hope so I'd say so Marina is not a girl that we we have seen get finished or even [__] lose so very tough girl to go against that's why she's a favorite but I feel like that's gonna be the upset I think this could be the upset of the whole whole thing here and the mandolamos picks similar to my Ramona Pascual pick you know 200 dogs two women so I like those two picks I'm gonna stick with them for now post way in Show possibly switch some stuff up I don't know Marina Marina rodrigue you guys like [__] she probably gets this done by decision honestly”
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Marina Rodriguez
“I'd say it's either gonna be Marina Rodriguez decision or Amanda Lemos for the Finish yeah she's definitely live for the Finish round one or two and if it's a five rounder [__] hopefully she can get three or four or five and get get the win I see Amanda Lemos for the decision I see I know I see if it's five Rand I see only man 11 was taking her out before five oh I [__] hope so I'd say so Marina is not a girl that we we have seen get finished or even [__] lose so very tough girl to go against that's why she's a favorite but I feel like that's gonna be the upset I think this could be the upset of the whole whole thing here and the mandolamos picks similar to my Ramona Pascual pick you know 200 dogs two women so I like those two picks I'm gonna stick with them for now post way in Show possibly switch some stuff up I don't know Marina Marina rodrigue you guys like [__] she probably gets this done by decision honestly”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Marina Rodriguez VALUE
“I like Rodriguez here mostly I'm going to have more Rodriguez than anything”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Marina Rodriguez VALUE
“I like Rodriguez here mostly I'm going to have more Rodriguez than anything”
HB
Half The Battle picks Marina Rodriguez
“for that reason I am going to pick Marina Marina Rodriguez”
$1.48
Half The Battle picks Marina Rodriguez
“for that reason I am going to pick Marina Marina Rodriguez”
$1.48
WI
WEIGHING IN picks Marina Rodriguez VALUE
WEIGHING IN picks Marina Rodriguez VALUE
TF
The ICE Files picks Marina Rodriguez VALUE
“I'm gonna go with Marina Rodriguez on that one”
The ICE Files picks Marina Rodriguez VALUE
“I'm gonna go with Marina Rodriguez on that one”
DR
Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Marina Rodriguez VALUE
Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Marina Rodriguez VALUE
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Marina Rodriguez VALUE
“my pick is going to be Marina Rodriguez”
Walk The Line MMA picks Marina Rodriguez VALUE
“my pick is going to be Marina Rodriguez”
WP
We Want Picks picks Amanda Lemos VALUE
“give me Amanda Lemos because I think she does have real deal power”
We Want Picks picks Amanda Lemos VALUE
“give me Amanda Lemos because I think she does have real deal power”
WP
We Want Picks picks Marina Rodriguez
“Marina Rodriguez is the pick am I gonna bet it probably not Amanda Lemos is very very dangerous and this may be a mandala most win inside the distance decision no choking decision no action bet if a Mandela most wins by submission or knockout I'll get paid if she loses a decision which is the most likely outcome I'll get a full refund”
We Want Picks picks Marina Rodriguez
“Marina Rodriguez is the pick am I gonna bet it probably not Amanda Lemos is very very dangerous and this may be a mandala most win inside the distance decision no choking decision no action bet if a Mandela most wins by submission or knockout I'll get paid if she loses a decision which is the most likely outcome I'll get a full refund”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Lemos15-5-1
L
Robertson
Mar '26
L
Suarez
Sep '25
W
Lucindo
Mar '25
L
Jandiroba
Jul '24
W
Dern
Feb '24
Rodriguez17-5-2
L
Robertson
May '25
L
Lucindo
Oct '24
L
Andrade
Apr '24
W
Waterson-Gomez
Sep '23
L
Jandiroba
May '23