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UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos
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AL MR Lemos vs RodriguezMain Card · Women'S Strawweight NM DR Magny vs RodriguezMain Card · Welterweight SN DM Nuerdanbieke vs MinnerMain Card · Featherweight TU NM Ulanbekov vs ManessMain Card · Flyweight GD MM Dawson vs MadsenMain Card · Catchweight MM SY Maverick vs YoungPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight MB BL Bautista vs LopezPreliminary Card · Catchweight PV JF Viana vs FreyPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight JJ LS Muñoz Jr. vs SholinianPreliminary Card · Bantamweight JH CC Hadley vs CandelarioPreliminary Card · Catchweight TV RP Vidal vs PascualPreliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Nuerdanbieke v Minner Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus6 picks · conf 18/99
Nuerdanbieke 3
3 Minner
HTW pick Nuerdanbieke
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Nuerdanbieke 39-12 VS 26-14 Minner
5'8" height 5'7"
145 lb weight 146 lb
69" reach 70"
32 age 36
Orthodox stance Orthodox
1.9 strikes landed / min 2.6
45% striking accuracy 65%
2.6 strikes absorbed / min 2.3
50% striking defence 35%
3.3 takedowns / 15 min 2.4
35% takedown accuracy 72%
28% takedown defence 66%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 2.7
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Shayilan Nuerdanbieke VALUE “this is my lock of the week I'm gonna stick with it Shayilan Nuerdanbieke versus Darrick Minner and Derek Miner his last fight against Ryan Hall that was pathetic um shaylyn looked very good against TJ Brown he has that knocking ability hands of Steel a lot of power in those hands for Shaylin I can see The Knockout coming here but even my decision I like Shaylin I'm locking in I'm gonna lock it in I I believe in his record”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Darrick Minner VALUE “I might go the other way than you for this one I know the numbers look close but I wasn't on it before but Derek Minner I mean he when he does fight people it's it's actually pretty high level people honestly surprisingly it's actually people high level and I mean his accuracy is crazy 75 75 significant strikeout here's the N 76 percent takedown uh accuracy and that's those are high so I mean I'm gonna I'm gonna decide what they are coming just to see I mean he is a good Underdog”
HB Half The Battle picks Shayilan Nuerdanbieke VALUE “my pick will be shy Elon here” $1.49
1M 138 MMA picks Darrick Minner VALUE “I'm gonna take Derek Benner here” $2.70
WP We Want Picks picks Darrick Minner VALUE “I like nerd and Beak here” $1.50
TF The ICE Files picks Shayilan Nuerdanbieke VALUE “I'm gonna go with Shayilan Nuerdanbieke on that one”
AM Artem MMA picks Darrick Minner “I'm going with eight minutes here uh Tagir Ulanbekov in my opinion aside from being pound for pound the most inbred fighter in the UFC doesn't really impress me like all that much I picked him to beat tamelia and I really should have picked himmelia to win that fight”
WP We Want Picks picks Shayilan Nuerdanbieke VALUE “I'm shyline all the way in this matchup”
WP We Want Picks picks Shayilan Nuerdanbieke VALUE “I really like shylon to initiate and control the grappling here I think he can bully his way forward control Derek on the mat I got money line I got it at minus 200” $1.50
Recent form last five, most recent first
Nuerdanbieke39-12
L Costa Submission · R3 Jun '24
L Garcia KO/TKO · R2 Apr '23
W Minner KO/TKO · R1 Nov '22
W Brown Decision · R3 Jun '22
W Soriano Decision · R3 Nov '21
Minner26-14
L Nuerdanbieke KO/TKO · R1 Nov '22
L Hall Decision · R3 Dec '21
L Elkins KO/TKO · R2 Jul '21
W Rosa Decision · R3 Feb '21
W Laramie Submission · R1 Sep '20